MATCH OVERVIEW
Mali and Senegal are set to face off in a crucial Africa Cup of Nations match. With both teams looking to make a mark in the tournament, this encounter promises to be a thrilling contest. The match will be held at a neutral venue, providing a level playing field for both sides. Scheduled for January 9, 2026, at 16:00 GMT, fans can expect a high-stakes battle.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds are heavily in favor of Senegal, with an average of 1.66, indicating a 60.2% probability of winning. Mali, on the other hand, has odds of 6.04, translating to a 16.6% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 3.44, giving it a 29.1% probability. Based on these odds, Senegal is expected to dominate the match, but Mali could still pose a challenge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mali
- Current Form: Mali has struggled this season, with an average of 0.75 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.5%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbling with 19.75 attempts per game, and a high success rate of 14.
- Weaknesses: Low goal-scoring rate and a high number of yellow cards (3.5 per match).
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Senegal has had the upper hand in previous encounters.
Senegal
- Current Form: Senegal is in excellent form, averaging 2.5 goals per match and maintaining 61.5% possession.
- Strengths: High offensive rating (403.4) and strong passing game with 504.5 passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Slight vulnerability in defense with 0.5 goals conceded per match.
- Head-to-Head: Senegal has consistently outperformed Mali in past meetings.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mali
- Lassine Sinayoko: Top scorer with 3 goals this season, crucial for Mali's attack.
- Djigui Diarra: Key defensive player with 81.45 points.
Senegal
- Sadio Mané: Star performer with 152.33 points, pivotal in Senegal's offensive play.
- Nicolas Jackson: Notable for his 2 goals and 105.03 points.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Senegal leads with 15.25 shots per game compared to Mali's 10.25.
- Defensive Metrics: Mali averages 7.25 clearances, while Senegal has a lower average of 3.5.
- Possession and Passing: Senegal's superior possession (61.5%) and passing accuracy give them a tactical edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Senegal is the clear favorite to win this match, given their superior form and statistical advantages. Key factors include their strong offensive capabilities and higher possession rates. Mali will need to capitalize on their dribbling skills and defensive resilience to challenge Senegal. The predicted final score is 2-0 in favor of Senegal, with a high probability of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.