The odds for this match suggest a clear favoritism towards River Plate, with an average odd of 1.8 for an away win, compared to 4.24 for a home win and 3.41 for a draw. This translates to a probability of approximately 55.6% for River Plate to secure a victory, while Deportivo Riestra has a 23.6% chance, and a draw stands at 29.3%. Given these odds, River Plate is expected to dominate the match, leveraging their superior form and tactical prowess.
Deportivo Riestra has shown resilience this season, with a defensive record of conceding only 0.38 goals per match. However, their offensive capabilities have been limited, averaging just 0.88 goals per game. Their possession rate of 33.75% indicates a tendency to play defensively, relying on counter-attacks. In contrast, River Plate boasts a possession rate of 63.63%, reflecting their control-oriented style of play. They have also been more effective in attack, with an expected goals (xG) of 1.38 per match.
Head-to-head statistics favor River Plate, who have historically performed well against Deportivo Riestra. River Plate's tactical approach, characterized by high possession and pressing, is likely to challenge Deportivo Riestra's defensive setup. The key for Deportivo Riestra will be to capitalize on set-pieces and counter-attacks, while River Plate will aim to exploit their passing accuracy and offensive depth.
Key players to watch include Deportivo Riestra's Jonathan Herrera, who has scored 3 goals this season, and River Plate's Facundo Colidio and Miguel Borja, each with 2 goals. The midfield battle will be crucial, with River Plate's Gonzalo Montiel and Deportivo Riestra's Nicolás Sansotre playing pivotal roles.
Statistically, River Plate holds an advantage in several areas, including successful passes (405.88 vs. 130.38) and successful dribbles (15.38 vs. 10.5). Their defensive solidity is also evident, with fewer dangerous own half losses (5 vs. 4.63) and a lower expected goals against (0.81 vs. 1.1). These metrics suggest that River Plate is better equipped to control the game and create scoring opportunities.
In conclusion, River Plate is the favorite to win this match, with their superior possession, passing, and attacking metrics. Deportivo Riestra will need to focus on their defensive strengths and capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities to challenge River Plate's dominance. The final score prediction is a 2-0 victory for River Plate, with the potential for both teams to score being relatively low.