Match Overview
The upcoming clash between Hartberg and Rapid Wien in the Austrian Bundesliga is more than just a regular fixture. With both teams looking to improve their positions in the league, this match could be pivotal in shaping their respective campaigns. Hartberg, playing at home, will aim to leverage their familiarity with the venue, while Rapid Wien will look to capitalize on their superior form and statistics.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Hartberg at 4.06, Draw at 3.57, and Rapid Wien at 1.66. These odds suggest a 24.6% probability for a Hartberg win, a 28% chance for a draw, and a 60.2% likelihood of a Rapid Wien victory. Given these probabilities, Rapid Wien is the clear favorite, reflecting their stronger performance metrics this season.
Team Analysis
Hartberg
- Current Form: Hartberg has struggled this season, with an average of 1.05 goals per match and conceding 1.3 goals.
- Strengths: Their possession rate of 51% and successful passes (347.1 per match) indicate a team capable of maintaining control.
- Weaknesses: A high expected goals against (1.58) suggests defensive vulnerabilities.
Rapid Wien
- Current Form: Rapid Wien has been more consistent, averaging 1.4 goals per match and conceding only 1.1 goals.
- Strengths: With a possession rate of 58.15% and a high number of shots (13.7 per match), they are offensively potent.
- Weaknesses: Despite their strengths, they have a slightly higher rate of dangerous own half losses (4.45 per match).
Head-to-Head
Historically, Rapid Wien has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outscoring Hartberg. Their tactical approach, focusing on high possession and offensive pressure, has been effective against Hartberg's defensive setup.
Key Players Spotlight
Hartberg
- Patrik Mijic: Leading scorer with 7 goals, crucial for Hartberg's attacking play.
- Raphael Sallinger: Key defensive player with 234.88 points, vital in goalkeeping duties.
Rapid Wien
- Dion Beljo: Top scorer with 8 goals, a constant threat in the attacking third.
- Isak Jansson: Contributing 5 goals, his form is pivotal for Rapid Wien's success.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Rapid Wien averages 5.3 shots on target per match compared to Hartberg's 3.45, highlighting their superior attacking efficiency.
- Defensive Metrics: Hartberg's higher interceptions (40.1) suggest a proactive defensive approach, but Rapid Wien's lower expected goals against (1.03) indicates a more solid defense.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Rapid Wien is expected to dominate the match, leveraging their offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Key factors such as possession control and goal-scoring ability will likely determine the outcome.
Final Score Prediction: Rapid Wien 2-1 Hartberg
In conclusion, while Hartberg will aim to exploit their home advantage, Rapid Wien's superior form and statistics make them the favorites to secure a win in this Austrian Bundesliga encounter.