Match Overview
The upcoming match between OH Leuven and Charleroi in the Belgium First Division is a pivotal fixture for both teams. Scheduled to take place at OH Leuven's home ground, the match kicks off at 19:45 on March 28, 2025. With the season entering a crucial phase, both teams are eager to secure points that could influence their standings.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: OH Leuven to win at 3.0, a draw at 3.0, and Charleroi to win at 2.6. These odds suggest a competitive match, with Charleroi slightly favored to win. The probability of OH Leuven winning is approximately 33.33%, while Charleroi's chances stand at 38.46%. The likelihood of a draw is 33.33%, indicating a closely contested game.
Team Analysis
OH Leuven
- Current Form: OH Leuven has played 30 matches this season, with a modest average of 0.93 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their possession rate of 49.7% and successful dribbles (17.17 per game) highlight their ability to control the game.
- Weaknesses: With only 0.53 assists per game, their attacking support is limited.
Charleroi
- Current Form: Charleroi has also played 30 matches, averaging 1.2 goals per game.
- Strengths: Charleroi's possession rate of 51.5% and higher shots on target (4.57 per game) indicate a more potent attack.
- Weaknesses: Their defense concedes 1.2 goals per game, which could be exploited by OH Leuven.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Charleroi has had the upper hand in this fixture, often securing victories against OH Leuven. This trend could influence the tactical approach of both teams.
Key Players Spotlight
OH Leuven
- Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi: With 4 goals this season, he is a key attacking threat.
- Siebe Schrijvers: Also with 4 goals, his form will be crucial.
Charleroi
- Daan Heymans: Leading the team with 11 goals, his performance could be decisive.
- Nikola Stulic: With 9 goals, he complements Heymans in attack.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Charleroi's expected goals (1.57) surpass OH Leuven's (1.18), indicating a stronger attacking potential.
- Defensive Metrics: OH Leuven's expected goals against (1.28) is slightly higher than Charleroi's (1.19), suggesting a more vulnerable defense.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Charleroi is likely to edge out OH Leuven, given their superior offensive capabilities and historical advantage. Key factors such as Charleroi's higher possession and shots on target could be match-winning elements.
Final Score Prediction
Charleroi 2 - 1 OH Leuven
Half Time Score Prediction
Charleroi 1 - 0 OH Leuven
Both Teams to Score Probability
With both teams having a decent scoring record, the probability of both teams scoring is high, around 60%.
Over 2.5 Goals Probability
Given the offensive stats, the probability of over 2.5 goals is approximately 55%.