Match Overview
The upcoming match between Sint-Truiden and Kortrijk in the Belgium First Division is more than just a regular fixture; it's a crucial battle for both teams as they aim to secure their positions in the league standings. With Sint-Truiden playing at home, they will look to leverage their home advantage to gain an upper hand against Kortrijk.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Sint-Truiden to win at 1.78, a draw at 3.27, and Kortrijk to win at 3.53. These odds suggest a higher probability for a home victory, with Sint-Truiden having a 56.18% chance of winning, while Kortrijk's chances stand at 28.33%. The likelihood of a draw is calculated at 30.58%. Based on these odds, Sint-Truiden is favored to emerge victorious, but Kortrijk's potential for an upset cannot be discounted.
Team Analysis
Sint-Truiden
- Current Form: Sint-Truiden has played 31 matches this season, with a notable Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 58.06% and Both Teams To Score percentage of 70.97%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 1.35 goals per match and a high possession rate of 47.71%.
- Weaknesses: Defensively, they concede an average of 1.81 goals per match, which could be a concern against Kortrijk.
Kortrijk
- Current Form: Kortrijk has played 30 matches, with an Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 60% and Both Teams To Score percentage of 53.33%.
- Strengths: They have a solid defensive setup, with an average of 1.83 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Their offensive output is lower, averaging 0.93 goals per match, which might hinder their chances against Sint-Truiden.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Sint-Truiden has had the upper hand in their encounters with Kortrijk, often leveraging their home advantage to secure wins. This trend could play a significant role in the upcoming match.
Tactical Approaches
Sint-Truiden is likely to adopt an aggressive approach, focusing on their attacking strengths and high possession rate. Kortrijk, on the other hand, may prioritize a defensive strategy, aiming to capitalize on counter-attacks.
Key Players Spotlight
Sint-Truiden
- Adriano Bertaccini: With 16 goals this season, Bertaccini is a key offensive asset.
- Loïc Lapoussin: His impressive performance rating of 248.33 points makes him a crucial player.
Kortrijk
- Thierry Ambrose: A top scorer with 6 goals, Ambrose will be vital for Kortrijk's attack.
- Marko Ilic: His defensive prowess, reflected in a performance rating of 211.95 points, is essential for Kortrijk.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Sint-Truiden: Average of 12.71 shots per match, with 4.45 on target.
- Kortrijk: Average of 9.87 shots per match, with 3.3 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Sint-Truiden: Average of 47.84 interceptions per match.
- Kortrijk: Average of 43.17 interceptions per match.
Possession and Passing
- Sint-Truiden: Average of 448.74 passes per match, with a success rate of 82.5%.
- Kortrijk: Average of 357.5 passes per match, with a success rate of 78.4%.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data and analysis, Sint-Truiden is expected to win this match, leveraging their offensive strengths and home advantage. Key factors include their higher goal-scoring rate and possession statistics. However, Kortrijk's defensive resilience could pose challenges.
Final Score Prediction: Sint-Truiden 2-1 Kortrijk
Half Time Score Prediction: Sint-Truiden 1-0 Kortrijk
Both Teams to Score Probability: 65%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%