MATCH OVERVIEW
Bahia and Internacional are set to face off in a pivotal Brazil Série A match that could significantly impact their standings in the league. Bahia, playing at home, will be eager to capitalize on their familiar surroundings at the Arena Fonte Nova. Meanwhile, Internacional will be looking to secure an away victory to boost their position in the league. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to gather momentum in the second half of the season.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Bahia slightly favored at 2.34, while Internacional's odds stand at 2.78. The draw is priced at 2.97, indicating a competitive match where all outcomes are possible. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 42.7% for a Bahia win, 33.8% for a draw, and 36.0% for an Internacional victory. Given these odds, Bahia holds a slight edge, but Internacional's chances cannot be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Bahia
Bahia's current form shows a team that has been relatively consistent, with an average of 1.17 goals per match and a possession rate of 52.42%. Their defense has been solid, conceding only 0.92 goals per game. However, their offensive output could be improved, as they have a lower shots on target average of 3.42. Bahia's strengths lie in their dribbling ability and successful passes, which they will need to exploit against Internacional.
Internacional
Internacional has shown resilience this season, with a slightly lower average of 1 goal per match but a higher shots on target average of 4.5. Their possession rate is similar to Bahia's at 52.17%, but they have conceded more goals, averaging 1.5 per game. Internacional's ability to win duels and their higher number of successful tackles could be key in disrupting Bahia's play.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Bahia and Internacional have been tightly contested, with both teams having their share of victories. The tactical approach from both sides will be crucial, with Bahia likely to focus on maintaining possession and Internacional aiming to capitalize on counter-attacks.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Bahia
- Luciano Juba: With 2 goals this season, Juba is a key player for Bahia, known for his dribbling and attacking prowess.
- Erick Pulga: Another top performer, Pulga has also scored 2 goals and will be crucial in breaking down Internacional's defense.
Internacional
- Sergio Rochet: A standout performer with 225.6 points, Rochet's goalkeeping skills will be vital in keeping Bahia at bay.
- Alan Patrick: With 2 goals, Patrick's creativity and ability to find the net make him a significant threat.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Bahia: Average goals per match (1.17), expected goals (1.35), conceded goals (0.92).
- Internacional: Average goals per match (1), expected goals (1.27), conceded goals (1.5).
Possession and Passing
- Bahia: Possession (52.42%), successful passes (415.33).
- Internacional: Possession (52.17%), successful passes (396.75).
Duels and Tackles
- Bahia: Successful duels (87.83), successful tackles (2.42).
- Internacional: Successful duels (92.17), successful tackles (3.58).
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, this match is likely to be closely contested. Bahia's home advantage and slightly better defensive record give them a slight edge, but Internacional's ability to create chances and their resilience in duels could lead to a draw. The key factors will be Bahia's ability to convert possession into goals and Internacional's counter-attacking strategy.
Final Score Prediction: Bahia 1-1 Internacional Half Time Score Prediction: Bahia 0-0 Internacional Probability for Both Teams to Score: 45% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 40%
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