Match Overview
Bahia and Mirassol face off in a crucial Brazil Série A match that could set the tone for their respective campaigns. Bahia, playing at home, will be keen to leverage their attacking strengths, while Mirassol seeks to exploit any defensive lapses. The Arena Fonte Nova will be the battleground for this intriguing contest.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest Bahia as the favorites with odds of 1.5, indicating a 66.7% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.49, translating to a 28.7% chance, while Mirassol's odds of 5.63 reflect a 17.8% probability of an away victory. Given these odds, Bahia is expected to dominate, but Mirassol's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
Team Analysis
Bahia
- Current Form: Bahia has shown consistency with an average of 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 43%.
- Strengths: High successful dribble rate (73%) and solid passing accuracy (89%).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable defense with 1 goal conceded per match.
- Head-to-Head: Bahia has historically performed well against Mirassol, often controlling possession and creating more chances.
Mirassol
- Current Form: Mirassol averages 1 goal per match with a possession rate of 54%.
- Strengths: Strong dueling ability with a 48% success rate and effective long passing.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties, conceding 2 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Mirassol has struggled against Bahia, often losing out in midfield battles.
Key Players Spotlight
Bahia
- Luciano Juba: Top performer with 290.66 points, crucial in midfield.
- Gilberto: Key goal scorer with 1 goal this season.
Mirassol
- Lucas Ramon: Leading scorer with 1 goal, pivotal in attack.
- Clayson: Creative force with 293.5 points, essential for breaking down defenses.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Bahia averages 12 shots per match, with 5 on target, while Mirassol averages 15 shots, with 6 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Bahia's expected goals against is 0.59, indicating a stronger defensive setup compared to Mirassol's 0.91.
- Possession and Passing: Mirassol's higher possession (54%) and passing accuracy (83%) could be decisive.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Bahia is likely to secure a victory, leveraging their home advantage and attacking depth. Key factors include Bahia's dribbling success and Mirassol's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a competitive match with Bahia edging out Mirassol.
Final Score Prediction: Bahia 2-1 Mirassol Half Time Score Prediction: Bahia 1-0 Mirassol Both Teams to Score Probability: 80% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 70%