MATCH OVERVIEW
Ceará and Mirassol are set to face off in a pivotal Brazil Série A match at the Arena Castelão. This encounter is crucial for both teams as they strive to improve their positions in the league table. Ceará, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Mirassol aims to continue their impressive form on the road. The match is scheduled for 22:00 GMT on July 23, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Ceará slightly favored at 2.24, while Mirassol's odds stand at 3.24. The draw is priced at 3.01, indicating a closely contested affair. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 44.64% for a Ceará win, 31.23% for a draw, and 30.86% for a Mirassol victory. Based on these figures, Ceará holds a slight edge, but Mirassol's potential to upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ceará
Ceará's season has been marked by a mixed bag of performances, with an average of 1.08 goals per match and a possession rate of 41.46%. Their defensive solidity is evident with only 0.92 goals conceded per game. However, their offensive output has been limited, as reflected in their expected goals of 1.01. Key players like Pedro Raul, who has scored 6 goals, will be crucial in breaking down Mirassol's defense.
Mirassol
Mirassol has shown a more attacking prowess, averaging 1.62 goals per match and maintaining a higher possession rate of 46.85%. Their ability to score is complemented by a solid defense, conceding just 1 goal per game. Reinaldo, with 7 goals this season, will be a key figure in their attacking strategy. Mirassol's higher expected goals of 1.53 suggest they could pose a significant threat to Ceará's defense.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Ceará
- Pedro Raul: With 6 goals this season, Pedro Raul is Ceará's top scorer and a vital component of their attack.
- Matheus Bahia: His contributions in defense and midfield are crucial for Ceará's balance.
Mirassol
- Reinaldo: Leading the scoring charts for Mirassol with 7 goals, Reinaldo's form will be pivotal.
- Francisco da Costa: His playmaking abilities and 2 goals add depth to Mirassol's offensive strategies.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Ceará averages 10.38 shots per game, with 3.54 on target.
- Mirassol averages 12.15 shots per game, with 4.46 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Ceará's defense is robust, with 41.23 interceptions per game.
- Mirassol averages 42.69 interceptions, showcasing their defensive discipline.
Possession and Passing
- Ceará's passing accuracy stands at 246 successful passes per game.
- Mirassol excels with 331.92 successful passes, indicating superior ball control.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and odds, Ceará holds a slight advantage due to their home ground. However, Mirassol's attacking capabilities and recent form suggest they could challenge Ceará effectively. Key factors such as Pedro Raul's scoring ability and Reinaldo's form will likely influence the outcome. The match is expected to be closely contested, with a final score prediction of 1-1, reflecting the balanced nature of both teams.
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