MATCH OVERVIEW
Fluminense and Bahia face off in a pivotal Brazil Série A match that could significantly impact their standings. Scheduled for December 7, 2025, at the iconic Maracanã Stadium, this encounter is set to kick off at 19:00 GMT. With the season nearing its end, both teams are eager to secure maximum points to bolster their positions.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match favor Fluminense with a 1.69 chance of winning, translating to a 59.2% probability. The odds for a draw stand at 3.45, indicating a 29% chance, while Bahia's odds of 4.53 suggest a 22.1% probability of an away win. Based on these odds, Fluminense is the clear favorite, but Bahia's potential to cause an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Fluminense
- Current Form: Fluminense has shown consistency with an average of 37 matches played this season.
- Strengths: Strong possession play (52.03%) and a solid defensive record with only 1.05 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Struggles in converting chances with an average of 1.3 goals per game.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Fluminense has had the upper hand in recent encounters against Bahia.
Bahia
- Current Form: Bahia has played 36 matches, showcasing a slightly higher offensive output with 1.33 goals per game.
- Strengths: Effective dribbling (18.14 successful dribbles per match) and a higher expected goals (1.52) than Fluminense.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 1.22 goals conceded per match.
- Head-to-Head: Bahia will need to overcome their recent struggles against Fluminense to secure a win.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Fluminense
- Jhon Arias: A key playmaker with 208.41 points this season.
- Kevin Serna: Top scorer with 7 goals, crucial for Fluminense's attacking threat.
Bahia
- Willian José: Leading the scoring charts with 11 goals, a significant threat to Fluminense's defense.
- Luciano Juba: Contributed 5 goals, adding depth to Bahia's attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Bahia edges Fluminense with 12.44 shots per game compared to 11.32.
- Defensive Metrics: Fluminense's defense is slightly more robust, conceding fewer goals on average.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams are evenly matched in possession, but Bahia has a slight edge in successful passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Fluminense's home advantage and solid defensive record make them favorites to win this encounter. However, Bahia's offensive capabilities, led by Willian José, could pose a significant challenge. The match is likely to be closely contested, with Fluminense edging out a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: Fluminense 2-1 Bahia Half Time Score Prediction: Fluminense 1-0 Bahia Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%
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