MATCH OVERVIEW
Grêmio will host Mirassol in a pivotal Brazil Série A match that could have significant implications for both teams' standings. Grêmio, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Mirassol will aim to upset the hosts and climb the league table. The match is set to take place at Grêmio's home stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on September 13, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Grêmio slightly favored at 2.06. The odds for a draw stand at 2.98, while Mirassol is considered the underdog with odds of 3.4. This translates to a probability of approximately 48.5% for a Grêmio win, 33.6% for a draw, and 29.4% for a Mirassol victory. Based on these odds, Grêmio is expected to have the upper hand, but Mirassol's potential to cause an upset cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Grêmio
Grêmio's current form has been inconsistent, with an average of 20 matches played this season. They have a moderate goal-scoring record, averaging 0.95 goals per game, and a defensive record of conceding 1.25 goals per match. Their possession rate stands at 44.55%, indicating a balanced approach. Grêmio's strengths lie in their dribbling ability, with a high success rate of 14.55 successful dribbles per game.
Mirassol
Mirassol has played 19 matches this season, showcasing a stronger offensive presence with an average of 1.58 goals per game. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding only 1 goal per match. Mirassol's possession rate is slightly higher at 46.84%, and they excel in creating chances with 3.16 key passes per game. Their ability to convert crosses into successful plays is a notable strength.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Grêmio and Mirassol have had limited encounters, making this match an intriguing prospect. Grêmio's home advantage could play a crucial role, but Mirassol's recent form suggests they are capable of challenging the hosts.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Grêmio
- Martin Braithwaite: With 6 goals this season, Braithwaite is Grêmio's top scorer and a key figure in their attack.
- Marcos Rocha: A consistent performer with 220.96 points, Rocha's defensive contributions will be vital.
Mirassol
- Reinaldo: Leading Mirassol's scoring charts with 7 goals, Reinaldo is a significant threat in front of goal.
- Walter: With 278.68 points, Walter's all-around play is crucial to Mirassol's success.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Mirassol averages more goals (1.58) and shots on target (4.16) compared to Grêmio's 0.95 goals and 3.75 shots on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Grêmio concedes slightly more goals (1.25) than Mirassol (1), but they have a higher interception rate (38.05).
- Possession and Passing: Mirassol's higher possession (46.84%) and successful passes (328) give them a slight edge in controlling the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Grêmio holds a slight advantage due to their home ground and odds favoring them. However, Mirassol's offensive capabilities and recent performances suggest they could secure a draw or even a win if they capitalize on their chances. Key factors will include Grêmio's ability to contain Reinaldo and Mirassol's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: Grêmio 1-1 Mirassol Half Time Score Prediction: Grêmio 0-0 Mirassol Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 45%
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