MATCH OVERVIEW
Internacional will host Fluminense in a crucial Brazil Série A match at the Estádio Beira-Rio. With the season progressing, both teams are looking to capitalize on their current form to climb the league table. Internacional, playing at home, will aim to leverage their home advantage, while Fluminense seeks to upset the hosts and gain valuable away points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a home victory, with Internacional favored at 1.64. The probability of a draw stands at 3.54, while Fluminense's chances of winning are rated at 5.14. These odds indicate a 60.98% chance for Internacional to win, a 28.25% chance for a draw, and a 19.46% chance for Fluminense to secure an away victory.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Internacional
Internacional has shown a consistent performance this season, with an average of 1.22 goals per match and a possession rate of 52.22%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by 13.33 shots per game, with 4.89 on target. Defensively, they concede 1.44 goals per match, which they will need to improve against Fluminense.
Fluminense
Fluminense boasts a slightly higher possession rate at 55.67%, with an average of 1.22 goals per match. Their defense is relatively solid, conceding 1.22 goals per game. Fluminense's passing accuracy is impressive, with 461.67 successful passes per match, which could be crucial in controlling the game's tempo.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Internacional has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Fluminense's current form suggests they could pose a significant challenge. Tactical adjustments and player matchups will be key in determining the outcome.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Internacional
- Alan Patrick: With 2 goals this season, Patrick is a vital part of Internacional's attack.
- Sergio Rochet: His defensive contributions are crucial, with a CompaScore of 225.6.
Fluminense
- Jhon Arias: A key player with 212.46 points, Arias will be instrumental in Fluminense's offensive strategy.
- Kevin Serna: Leading the goal-scoring chart for Fluminense with 2 goals.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Internacional averages 1.22 goals per match, while Fluminense matches this with the same average.
- Fluminense's passing game is stronger, with 526.89 passes per match compared to Internacional's 459.11.
Defensive Metrics
- Internacional's defense will need to tighten up, as they concede 1.44 goals per match compared to Fluminense's 1.22.
- Both teams have similar interception rates, with Internacional at 32.33 and Fluminense at 32.78.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Internacional is likely to leverage their home advantage and secure a victory. Key factors include their offensive prowess and the ability to capitalize on Fluminense's defensive lapses. The final score prediction is 2-1 in favor of Internacional, with a half-time score of 1-0. The probability for both teams to score is high at 55.56%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 44.44%.