MATCH OVERVIEW
Mirassol and Bahia are gearing up for an exciting Brazil Série A match that holds significant implications for both teams. With the season progressing, every point counts, and this match could be pivotal in shaping their respective campaigns. The game will take place at Mirassol's home stadium, providing them with a slight advantage.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Mirassol having a slight edge at 2.42, while Bahia's odds stand at 2.81. The draw is priced at 3.00, indicating a competitive match where both teams have a fair chance of securing a win. The probabilities derived from these odds suggest:
- Home Win: 41.32%
- Draw: 33.33%
- Away Win: 35.59%
Given these odds, Mirassol is slightly favored, but the match could swing in any direction, making it an intriguing contest.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mirassol
Mirassol has shown decent form this season, with an average of 1.61 goals per match and a possession rate of 46.67%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 12 shots per game, with 4.17 on target. However, their defense has been relatively solid, conceding only 1.06 goals per match.
Bahia
Bahia, on the other hand, boasts a slightly higher possession rate at 52.56% and averages 1.39 goals per match. Their defense is also commendable, with only 0.94 goals conceded per game. Bahia's ability to control the game through their passing (471.56 passes per match) could be a key factor.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters, with neither side dominating the other. This match is expected to follow a similar pattern, with both teams having the potential to secure a win.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mirassol
- Reinaldo: With 7 goals this season, Reinaldo is a crucial player for Mirassol, providing both experience and scoring ability.
- Gabriel: Another key player, contributing 4 goals, Gabriel's presence in the attack is vital.
Bahia
- Luciano Juba: Scoring 4 goals, Juba is a significant threat in Bahia's offensive lineup.
- Michel Araújo: Also with 4 goals, Araújo's performance will be crucial for Bahia's success.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Mirassol: Average Expected Goals (xG) of 1.45 and Expected Goals Against (xGA) of 1.41.
- Bahia: Average xG of 1.46 and xGA of 1.29.
Possession and Passing
- Mirassol: 392.61 passes per match with a success rate of 325.5.
- Bahia: 471.56 passes per match with a success rate of 409.89.
Bahia's superior passing and possession could give them an edge in controlling the match.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams having strengths that could lead to victory. Mirassol's home advantage and slightly better odds suggest they might edge out Bahia, but the match could easily end in a draw given the competitive nature of both teams.
Final Score Prediction
- Mirassol 2-1 Bahia
Key Factors
- Home advantage for Mirassol
- Bahia's superior passing and possession
- Key player performances from Reinaldo and Luciano Juba
In conclusion, while Mirassol is slightly favored, Bahia's ability to control the game could lead to an upset or a draw, making this match a must-watch for fans and analysts alike.
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