MATCH OVERVIEW
Mirassol and Corinthians are set to face off in a Brazil Série A match that holds significant implications for their respective seasons. Mirassol, known for their attacking prowess, will host Corinthians at Estádio Municipal de Mirassol. The match is scheduled for May 10th, 2025, at 21:30 UTC. Both teams are eager to secure a win to boost their positions in the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Corinthians slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows: Home win at 3.16, Draw at 3.24, and Away win at 2.14. This translates to a probability of approximately 31.6% for a Mirassol victory, 30.9% for a draw, and 46.7% for a Corinthians win. Given these odds, Corinthians are expected to have a slight edge, but Mirassol's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mirassol has shown impressive form this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match and maintaining a 100% Both Teams To Score rate. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 60% Over 2.5 Goals percentage. However, they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities.
Corinthians, on the other hand, have a more balanced approach, with a possession rate of 57.4% and a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. Their offensive output is lower, with an average of 1.2 goals per game, but their ability to control the game through possession could be a decisive factor.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mirassol's Reinaldo has been a standout performer, scoring 3 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial against a disciplined Corinthians defense. Lucas Ramon and Danielzinho have also contributed significantly to Mirassol's attacking efforts.
For Corinthians, Memphis Depay is the key player to watch, having scored 3 goals this season. His experience and skill could be pivotal in breaking down Mirassol's defense. Yuri Alberto and Héctor Hernández are also important players who can influence the game's outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Mirassol's offensive metrics are impressive, with 14.4 shots per game and 5.2 shots on target. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.88 per match indicate a strong attacking threat. Defensively, they average 39.8 interceptions, showcasing their ability to disrupt opposition play.
Corinthians excel in possession, averaging 529.4 passes per game with a high success rate of 462.2. Their expected goals against (xGA) of 1.22 suggests a solid defensive structure. However, their lower shot count of 8.8 per game could be a concern.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Corinthians are slightly favored to win, but Mirassol's attacking form and home advantage cannot be underestimated. Key factors such as possession control by Corinthians and Mirassol's offensive pressure will likely determine the match outcome.
Final Score Prediction: Mirassol 1-2 Corinthians Half Time Score Prediction: Mirassol 0-1 Corinthians Probability for Both Teams to Score: 70% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 65%