MATCH OVERVIEW
Mirassol and Fluminense are set to face off in a Brazil Série A match that could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. With both teams showing competitive form, this encounter at the Estádio Municipal de Mirassol is expected to be a tightly contested affair. The match is scheduled for July 13, 2025, at 18:00 UTC, and fans are eagerly anticipating a thrilling showdown.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely fought contest, with Mirassol having odds of 2.5 to win, Fluminense at 2.65, and a draw at 3.2. This indicates a fairly balanced probability distribution:
- Home Win: 40%
- Away Win: 37.74%
- Draw: 31.25%
The odds reflect a slight edge for Mirassol, likely due to their home advantage, but Fluminense's competitive odds suggest they are very much in the running.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mirassol
Mirassol has shown a solid performance this season, averaging 1.55 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 47%. Their offensive play is supported by an average of 12.64 shots per game, with 4.36 on target. Defensively, they concede 1.09 goals per match, indicating a relatively stable backline.
Fluminense
Fluminense, on the other hand, averages 1.36 goals per match with a higher possession rate of 54.82%. They are slightly less aggressive in attack with 11.45 shots per game but maintain a similar accuracy with 4 shots on target. Defensively, they also concede 1.09 goals per match, showcasing a balanced defensive setup.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters, with neither side dominating the other. This match is expected to follow a similar pattern, with both teams having the potential to secure a win.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mirassol
- Reinaldo: With 6 goals this season, Reinaldo is a key offensive threat for Mirassol.
- Walter: Leading in points, Walter's performance will be crucial in midfield.
Fluminense
- Jhon Arias: A top performer with 197.42 points, Arias is vital for Fluminense's attacking plays.
- Kevin Serna: With 3 goals, Serna is a significant goal-scoring threat.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Mirassol: Average Expected Goals (xG) of 1.58, indicating a strong offensive potential.
- Fluminense: Average Expected Goals Against (xGA) of 0.86, highlighting their defensive strength.
Both teams have similar defensive records, but Mirassol's higher xG suggests they might create more scoring opportunities.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is likely to be closely contested. Mirassol's home advantage and higher xG could give them a slight edge, but Fluminense's solid defense and possession play make them formidable opponents. Key factors will include Reinaldo's goal-scoring ability and Fluminense's midfield control.
Final Score Prediction: Mirassol 2-1 Fluminense Half Time Score Prediction: Mirassol 1-0 Fluminense Both Teams to Score Probability: 65% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%