Match Overview
Mirassol and Fortaleza are set to face off in a crucial Brazil Série A match that could set the tone for their respective seasons. With Mirassol playing at home, they will look to leverage their attacking strengths against a defensively solid Fortaleza. The match will be held at Estádio Municipal de Mirassol, providing a familiar backdrop for the home team.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Mirassol at 2.99, a draw at 3.13, and Fortaleza at 2.29. These odds imply a 33.4% probability for a Mirassol win, a 31.9% chance for a draw, and a 43.7% likelihood of a Fortaleza victory. Given these probabilities, Fortaleza is slightly favored, but Mirassol's home advantage could play a crucial role.
Team Analysis
Mirassol
- Current Form: Mirassol has shown a strong offensive presence, averaging 1 goal per match and maintaining a 100% rate in both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
- Strengths: High possession (54%), effective dribbling (18 successful dribbles), and a solid passing game (368 successful passes).
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 2 goals per match.
Fortaleza
- Current Form: Fortaleza has been defensively robust, conceding no goals and maintaining a high interception rate (31).
- Strengths: Strong defensive metrics, including 9 clearances and 7 successful tackles.
- Weaknesses: Lower possession (31%) and fewer shots (5 per match).
Head-to-Head
Historically, Fortaleza has had the upper hand in previous encounters, but Mirassol's current form suggests they could challenge this trend.
Tactical Approaches
Mirassol is likely to adopt an aggressive attacking strategy, leveraging their high possession and dribbling skills. Fortaleza, on the other hand, will focus on their defensive solidity, aiming to counter Mirassol's offensive threats.
Key Players Spotlight
Mirassol
- Lucas Ramon: A key performer with 362.34 points and 1 goal this season.
- Clayson: Contributing significantly with 293.5 points.
Fortaleza
- Juan Martín Lucero: Scored 1 goal and accumulated 212.54 points.
- Tinga: Another top performer with 234.6 points and 1 goal.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Mirassol: 15 shots per match, 6 on target, and an expected goals of 2.24.
- Fortaleza: 5 shots per match, 3 on target, and an expected goals of 0.78.
Defensive Metrics
- Mirassol: 45 interceptions and 3 clearances.
- Fortaleza: 31 interceptions and 9 clearances.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Fortaleza's defensive strength gives them a slight edge, but Mirassol's attacking capabilities could lead to a high-scoring game. Key factors will include Mirassol's ability to break down Fortaleza's defense and Fortaleza's counter-attacking potential.
Final Score Prediction: Mirassol 2-2 Fortaleza Half Time Score Prediction: Mirassol 1-1 Fortaleza Both Teams to Score Probability: 80% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 70%