MATCH OVERVIEW
Mirassol will host Palmeiras in a pivotal Brazil Série A match that could influence the trajectory of their season. With Mirassol looking to leverage their home advantage and Palmeiras aiming to maintain their strong form, this encounter is set to be a thrilling contest. The match will be held at the Estádio Municipal de Mirassol, with kickoff scheduled for 23:30 UTC on November 9, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive fixture, with Palmeiras slightly favored to win at 2.02, while Mirassol's odds stand at 3.53, and a draw is priced at 3.23. This translates to a probability of approximately 49.5% for a Palmeiras victory, 28.3% for a Mirassol win, and 31.0% for a draw. Given these odds, Palmeiras is expected to have the upper hand, but Mirassol's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mirassol has shown resilience this season, with an average of 1.68 goals per match and a possession rate of 49.39%. Their defense, conceding an average of 1 goal per game, will be tested against Palmeiras' potent attack. Palmeiras, on the other hand, boasts a higher possession rate of 52.67% and averages 1.83 goals per match, indicating a strong offensive capability. Historically, Palmeiras has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, but Mirassol's tactical discipline could level the playing field.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Mirassol, Reinaldo has been a standout performer with 11 goals this season, while Francisco da Costa and Negueba have contributed significantly with 6 goals each. Palmeiras will rely on Vitor Roque, who has netted 13 goals, and José Manuel López, with 10 goals, to spearhead their attack. The battle between Reinaldo and Vitor Roque could be decisive in determining the outcome of this match.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Mirassol's average of 12.23 shots per game, with 4.45 on target, highlights their attacking intent, while their defensive solidity is reflected in their 1.42 expected goals against. Palmeiras, with 13.7 shots per game and 5.17 on target, showcases a slightly more aggressive approach. Defensively, Palmeiras has been more robust, conceding only 0.87 goals per match, compared to Mirassol's 1 goal per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Palmeiras is favored to win this encounter. Their superior offensive and defensive metrics, combined with a higher average rating, suggest they have the edge. However, Mirassol's home advantage and key players could make this a closely contested match. Expect a competitive game with Palmeiras likely edging out a victory. Final score prediction: Mirassol 1-2 Palmeiras.
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