MATCH OVERVIEW
Mirassol and Santos are set to face off in a Brazil Série A match that could have a significant impact on their respective campaigns. With Mirassol playing at home, they will look to leverage their familiar surroundings to secure a victory against Santos. The match is scheduled for July 19, 2025, at 21:30 UTC, and will be held at Mirassol's home stadium.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Mirassol having a slight edge at 2.55, Santos at 2.73, and a draw at 2.92. This indicates a competitive match where both teams have a fair chance of winning. The probability of a Mirassol victory stands at approximately 39.22%, while Santos has a 36.63% chance, and a draw is likely at 34.25%. Based on these odds, a draw seems to be a plausible outcome, but Mirassol's home advantage could tilt the balance in their favor.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mirassol has shown decent form this season, with an average of 11 matches played and a goal-scoring rate of 1.55 per game. Their ability to score is complemented by a solid defense, conceding only 1.09 goals per match. Santos, on the other hand, has played 12 matches with a lower goal-scoring average of 0.92 but has a slightly higher concession rate of 1.17 goals per game. Mirassol's strengths lie in their offensive capabilities, with a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 72.73%, while Santos struggles in this area with only 41.67%.
Head-to-head statistics favor Mirassol, who have a better offensive rating of 587.08 compared to Santos' 516. Mirassol's tactical approach focuses on maintaining possession and creating goal-scoring opportunities through key passes and successful dribbles. Santos will need to improve their defensive strategies to counter Mirassol's attacking prowess.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mirassol's Reinaldo has been a standout performer, scoring 6 goals this season, making him a key player to watch. His ability to find the back of the net could be crucial in this match. Santos will rely on Álvaro Barreal, who has scored 3 goals, to challenge Mirassol's defense. The matchup between Reinaldo and Santos' defense will be pivotal.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Mirassol's offensive metrics, such as 12.64 shots per game and 4.36 shots on target, highlight their attacking strength. Santos, with 10.75 shots and 2.67 on target, will need to improve their accuracy to compete. Defensively, Mirassol's 44.64 interceptions per game provide a solid foundation, while Santos' 38.83 interceptions indicate room for improvement.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Considering the data, Mirassol's home advantage and superior offensive capabilities make them slight favorites. Key factors such as Reinaldo's form and Mirassol's ability to maintain possession could be decisive. A close match is expected, with Mirassol likely edging out Santos. Final score prediction: Mirassol 2-1 Santos.
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