MATCH OVERVIEW
Red Bull Bragantino will host Bahia in a pivotal Brazil Série A match that could influence the standings significantly. As the season unfolds, both teams are eager to climb the table, making this encounter crucial. The match will be held at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, a venue known for its vibrant atmosphere, on June 12, 2025, at 22:00 UTC.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a slight edge for Red Bull Bragantino with odds of 2.11 for a home win, while both a draw and an away win are priced at 3.13. This indicates a 47.4% probability for Bragantino to win, compared to 31.9% for a draw and 31.9% for Bahia to secure an away victory. The odds reflect a competitive match, with Bragantino slightly favored due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Red Bull Bragantino
- Current Form: Bragantino has shown a solid performance with an average of 1.2 goals per match and a possession rate of 51.6%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by 13.4 shots per game and a high dribble success rate.
- Weaknesses: Despite a strong defense, they have dangerous own half losses averaging 5.3 per match.
Bahia
- Current Form: Bahia averages 0.9 goals per match with a possession rate of 50.6%.
- Strengths: Their successful dribbles and crosses indicate a potential threat in wide areas.
- Weaknesses: Conceding an average of 1 goal per match, their defense needs tightening.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these teams have been closely contested, with Bragantino often leveraging their home advantage.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Red Bull Bragantino
- Isidro Pitta: With 3 goals this season, Pitta is a key offensive player.
- Juninho Capixaba: His defensive contributions are crucial, with a high CompaScore rating.
Bahia
- Erick Pulga: A promising forward with 2 goals, Pulga can be a game-changer.
- Luciano Juba: Known for his creative play, Juba's assists and goal-scoring ability are vital.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Bragantino's 1.45 expected goals per match surpass Bahia's 1.24, indicating a stronger attacking presence.
- Defensive Metrics: Bragantino's average conceded goals of 0.8 is better than Bahia's 1.0, showcasing a more robust defense.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams have similar possession stats, but Bragantino's passing accuracy gives them a slight edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Red Bull Bragantino is likely to win, leveraging their home advantage and superior offensive metrics. Key factors include their higher expected goals and solid defensive record. The final score prediction is 2-1 in favor of Bragantino, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 50%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 40%.