MATCH OVERVIEW
Santos will host Red Bull Bragantino in a pivotal Brazil Série A match that could significantly impact their season trajectory. With Santos looking to leverage their home advantage, the match at Estádio Urbano Caldeira promises to be a spectacle. Both teams have shown competitive form, and this clash is crucial for their aspirations in the league.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Santos with a 1.65 chance of winning, indicating a strong probability of a home victory. The draw is priced at 3.25, while Red Bull Bragantino's odds stand at 5.49, suggesting they are the underdogs. The probabilities reflect a 60.6% chance for Santos to win, 30.8% for a draw, and 18.2% for Bragantino to secure an away victory.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Santos
Santos has averaged 1 goal per match this season, with a possession rate of 47%. Their offensive play is characterized by 10.33 shots per game, with 3 on target. Defensively, they concede 1.67 goals per match, highlighting a need for improvement. Santos' strengths lie in their dribbling, averaging 22 attempts with a success rate of 16.33.
Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino boasts a slightly higher possession rate at 52.67%, with 1.33 goals per match. Their attacking prowess is evident with 15 shots per game, 5.33 of which are on target. Defensively, they concede 1.33 goals per match, showing a balanced approach. Their passing game is strong, averaging 439.33 passes with a success rate of 368.33.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Santos
- Gonzalo Escobar: Leading with 239.05 points, Escobar is pivotal in Santos' midfield.
- Thaciano: With 1 goal this season, he remains a key offensive threat.
Red Bull Bragantino
- Juninho Capixaba: Top performer with 312.14 points, crucial for Bragantino's defense.
- Eduardo Sasha: Scored 1 goal, vital for their attacking strategy.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Santos: Average 5 corners per match, with a CompaScore Offensive Rating of 543.65.
- Red Bull Bragantino: Average 6 corners per match, with a CompaScore Offensive Rating of 768.42.
- Defensive Metrics: Santos averages 40.67 interceptions, while Bragantino averages 36.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Santos is expected to leverage their home advantage, with a predicted win probability of 60.6%. Key factors include their dribbling success and home support. Red Bull Bragantino's strong passing game could pose challenges, but Santos' defensive resilience might prevail. Final score prediction: Santos 2-1 Red Bull Bragantino.