MATCH OVERVIEW
Coritiba will host Avaí in a pivotal Brazil Série B match that could influence the standings significantly. As the season unfolds, both teams are eager to secure points to improve their positions. The match will be held at Coritiba's home stadium, providing them with a slight advantage.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest Coritiba is favored to win with odds of 1.83, translating to a probability of approximately 54.6%. The draw is priced at 3.32, indicating a 30.1% chance, while Avaí's odds of 4.47 suggest a 22.4% probability of an away victory. These odds reflect Coritiba's home advantage and slightly better form.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Coritiba
- Current Form: Coritiba has played 8 matches this season, with a modest average of 0.88 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their possession rate of 53.75% and high interception rate (39.5 per game) indicate a solid defensive setup.
- Weaknesses: Scoring has been a challenge, with only 0.88 goals per game and a low Both Teams To Score percentage of 25%.
Avaí
- Current Form: Avaí has played 9 matches, averaging 1.44 goals per game, showing a more potent attack.
- Strengths: Avaí's offensive metrics are strong, with 13.33 shots per game and a higher Expected Goals (1.69).
- Weaknesses: Their possession is lower at 45.44%, which might affect their control in the match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Coritiba has had the upper hand in home fixtures against Avaí, leveraging their home advantage effectively.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Coritiba
- Josué: With 2 goals this season, Josué is a key player in Coritiba's attack.
- Pedro Morisco: Leading in points, his performance will be crucial.
Avaí
- Cléber: Top scorer with 3 goals, Cléber is a significant threat.
- Jonathan Costa: His contributions in defense and attack are vital.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Avaí leads with 1.44 goals per game compared to Coritiba's 0.88.
- Defensive Metrics: Coritiba's Expected Goals Against is lower at 0.94, indicating a stronger defense.
- Possession and Passing: Coritiba's higher possession and successful passes could be decisive.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Coritiba's home advantage and defensive solidity give them a slight edge. Avaí's attacking prowess cannot be underestimated, but Coritiba's ability to control the game might be the deciding factor.
Final Score Prediction
Coritiba 1-0 Avaí
Half Time Score Prediction
Coritiba 0-0 Avaí
Match-Winning Factors
- Coritiba's home advantage and defensive strength
- Avaí's attacking capabilities
In conclusion, while Avaí poses a significant threat, Coritiba's home advantage and defensive metrics suggest they might edge out a narrow victory.