MATCH OVERVIEW
Criciúma and Chapecoense are set to face off in a pivotal Brazil Série B match that could influence their standings in the league. Criciúma, currently showing a solid form at home, will aim to capitalize on their strengths against Chapecoense, who have been inconsistent on the road. With the season entering a crucial phase, both teams are aware of the importance of securing points to enhance their league positions.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Criciúma, with odds of 1.85 for a home win, indicating a probability of approximately 54%. The draw is priced at 3.28, translating to a 30% chance, while Chapecoense's odds of 4.39 suggest a 23% probability of an away victory. These odds reflect Criciúma's home advantage and recent form, making them the favorites to win.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Criciúma
Criciúma has been consistent this season, with an average of 1.29 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.88 goals per game. Their possession rate of 48.79% and successful pass rate of 292.17 indicate a balanced approach. However, their over 2.5 goals percentage stands at 33.33%, suggesting a tendency for lower-scoring games.
Chapecoense
Chapecoense, on the other hand, has a slightly higher goal average of 1.48 per match but also concedes 0.87 goals per game. Their possession rate is slightly lower at 46.09%, and they have a successful pass rate of 302.17. Chapecoense's over 2.5 goals percentage is higher at 47.83%, indicating a potential for more open play.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Criciúma has had the upper hand in home fixtures against Chapecoense, often leveraging their home crowd to secure victories. This trend could play a significant role in the upcoming match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Criciúma
- Diego Gonçalves: With 6 goals this season, Gonçalves is a key attacking threat.
- Rodrigo: Contributing 3 goals, Rodrigo's presence in midfield is crucial.
Chapecoense
- Maílton: Leading the scoring charts with 6 goals, Maílton is vital for Chapecoense's offensive play.
- Walter Clar: With 5 goals, Clar adds depth to Chapecoense's attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Criciúma: Average shots per game stand at 12.46, with 4.29 on target, showcasing their attacking intent.
- Chapecoense: Slightly lower at 11.61 shots per game, but with a similar accuracy of 4.26 on target.
Possession and Passing
- Criciúma: Possession at 48.79% and successful passes at 292.17.
- Chapecoense: Possession at 46.09% and successful passes at 302.17.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Criciúma is likely to edge out Chapecoense, leveraging their home advantage and solid defensive record. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. The final score prediction is a narrow 2-1 victory for Criciúma, with a potential halftime score of 1-0. Both teams have a 50% chance of scoring, and the probability of over 2.5 goals is around 40%.
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