MATCH OVERVIEW
Grêmio Novorizontino and Athletic Club face off in a Brazil Série B match that could significantly impact their standings. Grêmio Novorizontino, playing at home, will be eager to secure three points to strengthen their position in the league. Meanwhile, Athletic Club will be looking to improve their away form and climb the table. The match will take place at the Estádio Jorge Ismael de Biasi, with kickoff at 22:00 UTC.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Grêmio Novorizontino, with odds of 1.83 for a home win, 3.3 for a draw, and 4.5 for an away win. This translates to a probability of approximately 54.6% for a Grêmio Novorizontino victory, 30.3% for a draw, and 22.2% for an Athletic Club win. The odds indicate that Grêmio Novorizontino is favored, but the possibility of a draw remains significant.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Grêmio Novorizontino
- Current Form: Grêmio Novorizontino has shown consistency with an average of 25 matches played this season.
- Strengths: Strong defensive record with only 0.96 goals conceded per match and a solid possession rate of 51.92%.
- Weaknesses: Struggles in attack with only 1.08 goals per match and a low conversion rate of shots on target.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Grêmio Novorizontino has had the upper hand in home fixtures against Athletic Club.
Athletic Club
- Current Form: Athletic Club has also played 25 matches, showing a balanced performance.
- Strengths: Offensive capabilities with 1.08 goals per match and a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.22.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 1.36 goals conceded per match.
- Head-to-Head: Athletic Club has struggled in away matches against Grêmio Novorizontino.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Grêmio Novorizontino
- Nathan Fogaça: Top scorer with 5 goals, crucial for breaking down defenses.
- Matheus Frizzo: Another key goal contributor with 5 goals.
Athletic Club
- Neto Costa: Leading the attack with 7 goals, pivotal in Athletic Club's offensive play.
- Ronaldo Tavares: A significant threat with 6 goals this season.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Grêmio Novorizontino averages 13.16 shots per match, while Athletic Club averages 10.68.
- Defensive Metrics: Grêmio Novorizontino's defense is slightly more robust, conceding fewer goals on average.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams maintain similar possession rates, but Grêmio Novorizontino has a slight edge in passing accuracy.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Grêmio Novorizontino is likely to leverage their home advantage and defensive solidity to secure a win. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and capitalize on set pieces. Athletic Club's chances hinge on their ability to exploit defensive lapses and convert their scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction: Grêmio Novorizontino 2-1 Athletic Club Half Time Score Prediction: Grêmio Novorizontino 1-0 Athletic Club Both Teams to Score Probability: 48% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 38%
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