MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Brazil Série B match between Paysandu and Chapecoense is set to be a captivating showdown. As the season progresses, every point becomes vital, and both teams will be eager to secure a win. Paysandu, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estádio da Curuzu, while Chapecoense will aim to defy the odds and claim victory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a favorable outcome for Paysandu, with odds of 1.79 for a home win. The probability of a draw stands at 3.5, while an away win for Chapecoense is less likely at 4.56. These odds indicate a 55.9% chance for Paysandu to win, a 28.6% chance for a draw, and a 21.9% chance for Chapecoense to emerge victorious.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Paysandu has shown a consistent form this season, with a 100% rate in both Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 12 shots per match, although only 2 are on target. Defensively, they concede an average of 2 goals per game, which could be a concern against Chapecoense's attacking prowess.
Chapecoense, on the other hand, has a strong possession game, averaging 65% possession. Despite not scoring in their previous matches, their expected goals of 1.53 suggest potential for improvement. Their defense is relatively solid, conceding only 1 goal per match, and their goalkeeper has been impressive with 7 saves per game.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Paysandu, Leandro Vilela has been a standout performer, contributing significantly to their midfield with 164.66 points this season. Rossi and Yeferson Quintana also add depth to their squad.
Chapecoense's Léo Vieira has been exceptional, amassing 344.23 points, and will be crucial in their quest for victory. Walter Clar and Bruno Leonardo are also key players to watch.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Paysandu's offensive metrics show promise, with a high rate of successful dribbles (11 out of 15) and a solid passing game (307 successful passes out of 373). However, their defense needs tightening, as they average 2 goals conceded per match.
Chapecoense excels in passing, with 488 successful passes out of 568, and their dribbling success rate is impressive at 27 out of 30. Their defensive metrics, including 7 clearances per match, indicate a robust backline.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Paysandu is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. However, Chapecoense's defensive resilience could make it challenging for Paysandu to convert chances. The key to victory will be Paysandu's ability to break down Chapecoense's defense and capitalize on their scoring chances.
Final Score Prediction: Paysandu 2-1 Chapecoense Half Time Score Prediction: Paysandu 1-0 Chapecoense Probability for Both Teams to Score: 70% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 60%