MATCH OVERVIEW
Vila Nova and Paysandu are set to face off in a Brazil Série B match that could have a substantial impact on their respective campaigns. With Vila Nova playing at home, they will look to leverage their home advantage to secure a win against a competitive Paysandu side. The match is scheduled for April 12, 2025, at 21:00 UTC, at the Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Vila Nova, with odds of 2.17 for a home win, 3.19 for a draw, and 3.46 for an away win. This translates to a probability of approximately 46% for Vila Nova to win, 31% for a draw, and 23% for Paysandu to emerge victorious. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Vila Nova having a marginal advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Vila Nova
Vila Nova's season has been challenging, with an average of 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 31%. Their offensive struggles are evident, with only 5 shots per game and 0 shots on target. Defensively, they concede an average of 1 goal per match, with a strong interception rate of 41 per game.
Paysandu
Paysandu, on the other hand, has shown more promise offensively, averaging 1 goal per match and maintaining 50% possession. They have a higher shot count of 12 per game, with 2 on target. However, they concede 2 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Vila Nova and Paysandu have had closely contested matches, with Vila Nova often leveraging their home advantage. The tactical approach for Vila Nova will likely focus on solid defense and counter-attacks, while Paysandu may aim to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Vila Nova
- João Vieira: A key defensive player with 141.64 points this season.
- Tiago Pagnussat: Contributing significantly to the defense with 105.08 points.
Paysandu
- Leandro Vilela: Leading the charge with 164.66 points and 1 goal this season.
- Rossi: A vital offensive player with 147.65 points.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Vila Nova: 0 goals per match, 5 shots, 0 shots on target.
- Paysandu: 1 goal per match, 12 shots, 2 shots on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Vila Nova: 1 goal conceded per match, 41 interceptions.
- Paysandu: 2 goals conceded per match, 32 interceptions.
Possession and Passing
- Vila Nova: 31% possession, 228 passes.
- Paysandu: 50% possession, 373 passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Vila Nova's home advantage and defensive capabilities may give them a slight edge. However, Paysandu's offensive prowess cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Vila Nova's ability to capitalize on counter-attacks and Paysandu's capacity to break through Vila Nova's defense.
Final Score Prediction
- Vila Nova 1-1 Paysandu
Half Time Score Prediction
- Vila Nova 0-0 Paysandu
Overall, the match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams having opportunities to score. The probability for both teams to score is high, given Paysandu's offensive capabilities and Vila Nova's home advantage.