MATCH OVERVIEW
Everton and Audax Italiano are set to face off in a crucial Primera División match that could have significant implications for their season standings. Everton, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estadio Sausalito to gain an advantage over Audax Italiano. Scheduled for June 1, 2025, this match is pivotal for both teams as they seek to climb the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Everton slightly favored at 2.14, while both the draw and Audax Italiano are priced at 3.19. This indicates a close contest, with Everton having a slight edge due to their home advantage. The probability distribution based on these odds suggests:
- Everton win: 46.7%
- Draw: 31.3%
- Audax Italiano win: 31.3% Given these probabilities, Everton is expected to have a marginal advantage, but the possibility of a draw or an away win remains significant.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Everton
Everton's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 11 matches played this season. They have a moderate success rate in terms of goals, averaging 0.91 per match, and their defense has been somewhat porous, conceding 1.82 goals per game. Their possession stats stand at 50.73%, indicating a balanced approach.
Audax Italiano
Audax Italiano has shown a slightly better offensive output, averaging 1.64 goals per match. Their defense has been more robust, conceding only 1 goal per game. With a possession rate of 43.73%, they tend to play more on the counter, which could be effective against Everton.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with neither side dominating the other. This head-to-head balance adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Everton
- Álvaro Madrid: A key midfielder with 132.15 points this season, contributing both defensively and offensively.
- Ignacio Ramírez: Leading goal scorer with 2 goals, crucial for Everton's attacking play.
Audax Italiano
- Leonardo Valencia: Top scorer with 4 goals, pivotal in Audax Italiano's offensive strategy.
- Tomás Ahumada: A standout performer with 164.65 points, vital in maintaining defensive solidity.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Everton averages 12.91 shots per game, with 3.82 on target.
- Audax Italiano averages 12.09 shots per game, with 3.82 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Everton's defense has been tested, conceding 1.82 goals per game.
- Audax Italiano has a stronger defensive record, conceding only 1 goal per game.
Possession and Passing
- Everton's possession rate is 50.73%, with 392.91 passes per game.
- Audax Italiano's possession rate is 43.73%, with 293.27 passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Everton's home advantage and slightly better odds give them a slight edge. However, Audax Italiano's stronger defensive record and effective counter-attacking strategy could pose challenges. Key factors such as player form and tactical execution will be crucial.
Final Score Prediction
- Everton 1-1 Audax Italiano
Half Time Score Prediction
- Everton 0-0 Audax Italiano
Probability Insights
- Both Teams to Score: 50%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 45%