MATCH OVERVIEW
Ñublense and Unión La Calera are set to clash in the Chilean Primera División, with both teams looking to secure vital points. This match holds significant importance as both teams aim to improve their standings in the league. The game will be held at the Estadio Municipal de Chillán, kicking off at 8:00 PM local time.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Ñublense slightly favored at 2.05 to win, while Unión La Calera stands at 3.55. The draw is priced at 3.13, indicating a closely contested game. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 48.78% for a Ñublense win, 28.47% for a draw, and 22.75% for a Unión La Calera victory. Given these figures, Ñublense appears to have a slight edge, but the match could swing either way.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ñublense
Ñublense has had a mixed season, averaging 0.78 goals per match and conceding 1.56. Their possession stands at 46.67%, indicating a need to control the game better. With a CompaScore Rating of 1402.1, they have shown resilience but need to improve their offensive output, as reflected in their 33.33% Over 2.5 Goals Percentage.
Unión La Calera
Unión La Calera boasts a slightly better possession rate at 51.89% and averages 1.22 goals per match while conceding only 0.78. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by their Expected Goals Against of 1.14. With a CompaScore Rating of 1386.28, they are competitive but need to enhance their attacking prowess.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these teams have been tightly contested, with both sides having their share of victories. Tactical approaches will be crucial, with Ñublense likely focusing on solidifying their defense, while Unión La Calera may aim to exploit their possession advantage.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Ñublense
- Nicola Pérez: A key figure in defense, contributing significantly to interceptions and clearances.
- Lorenzo Reyes: Vital in midfield, providing stability and occasional goal-scoring.
Unión La Calera
- Sebastián Sáez: The top scorer with 5 goals, crucial for breaking through Ñublense's defense.
- Cristian Insaurralde: Adds depth to the attack, capable of creating scoring opportunities.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Ñublense averages 11.11 shots per game, with 2.33 on target.
- Unión La Calera averages 10.11 shots, with 3.22 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Ñublense's interceptions stand at 39.33, while Unión La Calera averages 40.67.
- Ñublense concedes 1.56 goals per match, compared to Unión La Calera's 0.78.
Possession and Passing
- Ñublense's successful passes average 299.44, while Unión La Calera achieves 368.89.
- Both teams have similar long pass success rates, indicating balanced midfield play.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Ñublense has a slight edge due to their home advantage and historical performance. However, Unión La Calera's solid defense and possession could prove challenging. Key factors will include Ñublense's ability to convert possession into goals and Unión La Calera's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Ñublense 1-1 Unión La Calera
- Half Time: Ñublense 0-0 Unión La Calera
With a 44.44% probability for both teams to score and a 33.33% chance for over 2.5 goals, expect a tightly contested match with limited scoring opportunities.