MATCH OVERVIEW
Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Port are gearing up for a pivotal clash in the Super League - China. With the season reaching its climax, both teams are vying for top positions, making this match a significant fixture in their campaigns. The Workers' Stadium in Beijing will be the battleground for this high-stakes encounter, scheduled for September 21, 2025, at 10:00 AM GMT.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Beijing Guoan slightly favored at 2.18, while Shanghai Port stands at 2.71. The draw is priced at 3.89, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 45.9% for a home win, 25.7% for a draw, and 37.4% for an away win. Based on these figures, Beijing Guoan holds a slight edge, but Shanghai Port's strong form cannot be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Beijing Guoan
- Current Form: Beijing Guoan has played 24 matches this season, with a strong offensive record, averaging 2.13 goals per game.
- Strengths: High possession rate (63.17%), effective dribbling (13.58 successful dribbles per game), and solid passing accuracy (482.46 successful passes).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable defense with 1.42 goals conceded per game.
Shanghai Port
- Current Form: Shanghai Port also has 24 matches under their belt, boasting a higher goal average of 2.38 per game.
- Strengths: Excellent offensive capabilities with a high expected goals rate (2.18) and successful crosses (6.38 per game).
- Weaknesses: Slightly lower possession (57.92%) compared to Beijing Guoan.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had closely contested matches, with both sides having their share of victories. Tactical approaches will be crucial, with Beijing Guoan likely to focus on possession and Shanghai Port on exploiting counter-attacks.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Beijing Guoan
- Fabio Abreu: Top scorer with 17 goals, pivotal in leading the attack.
- Jiaqi Han: Key defensive player with 94.66 points.
Shanghai Port
- Léo: Leading goal scorer with 14 goals, crucial for offensive plays.
- Mateus Vital: Creative midfielder with 60.98 points, essential for linking play.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Shanghai Port leads with 2.38 goals per game compared to Beijing Guoan's 2.13.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams concede 1.42 goals per game, indicating potential vulnerabilities.
- Possession and Passing: Beijing Guoan's higher possession and passing accuracy could be decisive.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, this match is expected to be a closely fought contest. Beijing Guoan's possession-based strategy might give them a slight advantage, but Shanghai Port's offensive prowess could turn the tide. Key factors will include Fabio Abreu's goal-scoring ability and Léo's impact for Shanghai Port.
Final Score Prediction
- Home Win Probability: 45.9%
- Away Win Probability: 37.4%
- Draw Probability: 25.7%
- Final Score: 2-2
- Half Time Score: 1-1
- BTTS Probability: 87.5%
- Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 79.17%
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