MATCH OVERVIEW
The Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Chengdu Rongcheng is set to be a pivotal match in the current season. Chengdu Rongcheng, with their impressive form, are looking to consolidate their position at the top of the table, while Changchun Yatai aims to climb the ranks with a home victory. The match will be held at Changchun's home stadium, providing them with a familiar environment to challenge the odds.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds heavily favor Chengdu Rongcheng with an average of 1.55, indicating a 64.5% probability of an away win. Changchun Yatai, with odds of 5.17, have a 19.3% chance of securing a home victory, while the draw stands at 4.18, translating to a 23.9% probability. The odds suggest Chengdu Rongcheng's dominance, but Changchun Yatai's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Changchun Yatai
- Current Form: Averaging 1 goal per match, Changchun Yatai has struggled offensively but shows resilience with a 71.43% BTTS rate.
- Strengths: High dribble success rate (69.4%) and effective interceptions (51.57 per match).
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 1.86 goals conceded per match.
Chengdu Rongcheng
- Current Form: Strong offensive presence with 1.43 goals per match and a high possession rate of 58.57%.
- Strengths: Solid defense, conceding only 0.57 goals per match, and high expected goals (2.63).
- Weaknesses: Slightly lower successful duels rate compared to Changchun Yatai.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Chengdu Rongcheng has had the upper hand in recent encounters, leveraging their tactical prowess and superior squad depth.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Changchun Yatai
- Long Tan: Leading scorer with 5 goals, crucial for Changchun's attacking strategy.
- L. Rosić: Defensive stalwart with 77.17 points, key in thwarting Chengdu's attacks.
Chengdu Rongcheng
- Felipe Silva: Top performer with 87.4 points, instrumental in both scoring and playmaking.
- Timo Letschert: Defensive anchor, contributing significantly to Chengdu's low goals conceded.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Chengdu Rongcheng averages 17.29 shots per match, significantly higher than Changchun's 7.86.
- Defensive Metrics: Chengdu's expected goals against (0.81) showcases their defensive solidity compared to Changchun's 2.43.
- Possession and Passing: Chengdu's superior possession (58.57%) and passing accuracy (395.29 successful passes) highlight their control over the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Chengdu Rongcheng is likely to dominate the match, leveraging their offensive and defensive strengths. Key factors include their high possession rate and effective goal-scoring capabilities. Changchun Yatai's home advantage and resilience in BTTS scenarios could make the match competitive.
Final Score Prediction
Chengdu Rongcheng 2 - 1 Changchun Yatai
Half Time Score Prediction
Chengdu Rongcheng 1 - 0 Changchun Yatai
Match-Winning Factors
- Chengdu's superior offensive metrics and defensive solidity.
- Changchun's potential to exploit home advantage and BTTS scenarios.