MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Super League match between Dalian Young Boy and Beijing Guoan is a pivotal fixture in the current season. Dalian Young Boy, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Dalian Sports Center Stadium to gain an advantage. Meanwhile, Beijing Guoan, with their strong away form, aims to continue their impressive run.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest Beijing Guoan is favored to win, with odds of 1.99 compared to Dalian Young Boy's 3.46. The draw is priced at 3.61, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately:
- Home win: 28.9%
- Draw: 27.7%
- Away win: 50.3%
Given Beijing Guoan's higher probability of winning, they are expected to dominate the match.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Dalian Young Boy
- Current Form: Dalian Young Boy has played 10 matches this season, with a modest average of 1.1 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their ability to maintain possession (47.7%) and successful dribbles (16.7) are key assets.
- Weaknesses: They struggle defensively, conceding 1.4 goals per game.
Beijing Guoan
- Current Form: Beijing Guoan has been impressive, scoring 2.44 goals per game across 9 matches.
- Strengths: High possession (60.11%) and effective passing (457.78 successful passes) are their strengths.
- Weaknesses: Despite their offensive prowess, they have a tendency to lose possession in dangerous areas.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Beijing Guoan has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outscoring Dalian Young Boy.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Dalian Young Boy
- Cephas Malele: With 3 goals this season, Malele is a key attacking threat.
- Fernando Karanga: Also with 3 goals, Karanga's form will be crucial.
Beijing Guoan
- Fabio Abreu: Leading the scoring charts with 7 goals, Abreu is a formidable striker.
- Serginho: His creative play and 2 goals make him a vital player.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Dalian Young Boy: Average 11.5 shots per game, with 3.1 on target.
- Beijing Guoan: Average 13.56 shots per game, with 5.33 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Dalian Young Boy: Concede 1.4 goals per game, with 44 interceptions.
- Beijing Guoan: Concede 1.22 goals per game, with 38.11 interceptions.
Possession and Passing
- Dalian Young Boy: 366.3 passes per game, 290.7 successful.
- Beijing Guoan: 523.44 passes per game, 457.78 successful.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Beijing Guoan is likely to win, given their superior offensive and possession statistics. Key factors include their ability to control the game and capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction
Beijing Guoan 2 - 1 Dalian Young Boy
Half Time Score Prediction
Beijing Guoan 1 - 0 Dalian Young Boy
Match-Winning Factors
- Beijing Guoan's Offensive Strength: Their ability to score and maintain pressure.
- Dalian Young Boy's Defensive Vulnerabilities: Potentially exploited by Beijing Guoan's attack.
In summary, Beijing Guoan's form and statistical advantages make them favorites to secure a victory in this Super League clash.