Match Overview
The upcoming Super League clash between Dalian Young Boy and Changchun Yatai promises to be a captivating encounter. Both teams have had a challenging start to the season, and this match presents an opportunity to gain momentum. Dalian Young Boy, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage, while Changchun Yatai aims to upset the hosts and secure a crucial away victory.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows:
- Home Win: 2.49
- Draw: 3.36
- Away Win: 2.63
These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Dalian Young Boy having a slight edge due to their home advantage. The probability of each outcome is:
- Home Win: 40.16%
- Draw: 29.76%
- Away Win: 37.98%
Given the odds, a draw seems less likely, but both teams have the potential to secure a win. The expected outcome leans slightly towards Dalian Young Boy, but Changchun Yatai's resilience could lead to an upset.
Team Analysis
Dalian Young Boy
- Current Form: Dalian Young Boy has averaged 2 matches this season, with a 50% success rate in over 2.5 goals.
- Strengths: High possession rate (42%), effective dribbling (13.5 successful dribbles), and strong defensive interceptions (42.5).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable defense, conceding 2.5 goals per match.
Changchun Yatai
- Current Form: Changchun Yatai has also played 2 matches, with a 50% success rate in over 2.5 goals.
- Strengths: Solid defensive clearances (10.5) and interceptions (70).
- Weaknesses: Low goal-scoring rate (0.5 goals per match) and high expected goals against (3.62).
Head-to-Head
Historically, Dalian Young Boy has had a slight edge over Changchun Yatai, especially in home fixtures. However, Changchun Yatai's recent form suggests they could challenge this trend.
Tactical Approaches
- Dalian Young Boy: Likely to focus on possession-based play, utilizing their dribbling skills to penetrate Changchun Yatai's defense.
- Changchun Yatai: Expected to adopt a defensive approach, relying on counter-attacks and set-pieces to create scoring opportunities.
Key Players Spotlight
Dalian Young Boy
- Fernando Karanga: Top scorer with 2 goals, crucial for Dalian's attacking prowess.
- Jiabao Wen: Key playmaker with a CompaScore of 63.96.
Changchun Yatai
- Yake Wu: Leading performer with a CompaScore of 83.53, vital for defensive stability.
- Long Tan: Scored 1 goal, important for Changchun's offensive efforts.
Key Matchups
- Karanga vs Wu: A battle between Dalian's attacking force and Changchun's defensive stalwart.
- Wen vs Tan: Midfield creativity against forward pressure.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Dalian Young Boy: Averaging 8 shots per match, with 2.5 on target.
- Changchun Yatai: Averaging 5.5 shots per match, with 1 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Dalian Young Boy: 5 goalkeeper saves per match, indicating defensive pressure.
- Changchun Yatai: 5.5 goalkeeper saves per match, showcasing defensive resilience.
Statistical Advantages
- Dalian Young Boy: Higher possession and successful dribbles.
- Changchun Yatai: More interceptions and clearances.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data and analysis, Dalian Young Boy is slightly favored to win, given their home advantage and offensive capabilities. However, Changchun Yatai's defensive strength could lead to a tightly contested match.
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Dalian Young Boy: Effective use of possession and dribbling to break down Changchun's defense.
- Changchun Yatai: Capitalizing on counter-attacks and set-pieces.
Final Score Prediction
- Full-Time: Dalian Young Boy 2-1 Changchun Yatai
- Half-Time: Dalian Young Boy 1-0 Changchun Yatai
This match is expected to be a thrilling contest, with both teams showcasing their strengths and battling for crucial points in the Super League.