MATCH OVERVIEW
Henan and Qingdao Hainiu face off in a crucial Super League - China match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. Henan, currently mid-table, will be keen to secure three points at home to bolster their position. Qingdao Hainiu, on the other hand, is fighting to avoid relegation and will be desperate for a positive result.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Henan with a 1.61 chance of winning, translating to a 62.11% probability. A draw is priced at 3.7, offering a 27.03% chance, while Qingdao Hainiu's odds of 4.94 suggest a 20.24% probability of an away victory. Henan's home advantage and superior form make them the expected winners.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Henan has shown decent form this season, averaging 1.17 goals per match and maintaining a 66.67% rate for both Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score. Their possession stands at 46.83%, indicating a balanced approach. Qingdao Hainiu struggles offensively, averaging only 0.71 goals per game, but their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.43 goals on average.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Henan's Iago Maidana has been a standout performer, scoring 3 goals this season. His defensive capabilities also add value to the team. Qingdao Hainiu's Elvis Saric and Wellington Silva have each netted 2 goals, providing crucial attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Henan's offensive metrics, including 11.17 shots per game and 4.5 shots on target, highlight their attacking threat. Qingdao Hainiu's defensive resilience is evident in their 3.86 goalkeeper saves per match. Henan's higher expected goals (1.84) compared to Qingdao's (0.8) suggests a potential scoring advantage.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Henan's home advantage and superior attacking statistics position them as favorites. Key factors include their higher expected goals and solid performances from players like Iago Maidana. A final score prediction of 2-1 in favor of Henan seems likely, with a half-time score of 1-0.