Match Overview
The upcoming Super League clash between Qingdao Hainiu and Dalian Young Boy is crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their positions in the league. Qingdao Hainiu, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiarity with the Qingdao Sports Center Stadium. Meanwhile, Dalian Young Boy, with a slightly better form, will look to exploit any weaknesses in the home side's defense.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Qingdao Hainiu at 2.64, a draw at 3.28, and Dalian Young Boy at 2.49. This indicates a slight edge for the away team, Dalian Young Boy, with a probability of 40.16% to win, compared to Qingdao Hainiu's 37.88%. The draw stands at a 30.49% probability, reflecting the potential for a tightly fought match.
Team Analysis
Qingdao Hainiu
- Current Form: Qingdao Hainiu has struggled this season, averaging 0.67 goals per match and conceding 1.33.
- Strengths: Their dribbling ability, with 18.67 attempts and 10.67 successful dribbles per game.
- Weaknesses: Low possession (44.67%) and goal-scoring rate.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Qingdao Hainiu has had mixed results against Dalian Young Boy.
Dalian Young Boy
- Current Form: Dalian Young Boy has shown better offensive capabilities, averaging 1.33 goals per match.
- Strengths: Strong offensive metrics, including 11.67 shots per game and 3.33 on target.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.67 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Dalian Young Boy has a slight edge in recent encounters.
Key Players Spotlight
Qingdao Hainiu
- Wellington Silva: A key player with 1 goal this season.
- Pengfei Mu: Leading with 88.06 points.
Dalian Young Boy
- Fernando Karanga: Top scorer with 2 goals.
- Cephas Malele: Contributing significantly with 83.61 points.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Dalian Young Boy leads with 1.34 expected goals compared to Qingdao Hainiu's 0.95.
- Defensive Metrics: Qingdao Hainiu averages 39 interceptions, while Dalian Young Boy has 43.67.
- Possession: Both teams have similar possession rates, with Qingdao Hainiu at 44.67% and Dalian Young Boy at 43.67%.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Dalian Young Boy appears to have a slight advantage, particularly in offensive capabilities. Key factors such as Fernando Karanga's goal-scoring form and Dalian's higher expected goals suggest they might edge out Qingdao Hainiu. However, Qingdao's home advantage could play a crucial role.
Final Score Prediction: Qingdao Hainiu 1-2 Dalian Young Boy Half Time Score Prediction: Qingdao Hainiu 0-1 Dalian Young Boy Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
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