Match Overview
Shanghai Port and Meizhou Hakka are gearing up for a crucial Super League match that could impact their standings significantly. With Shanghai Port playing at home, they are expected to leverage their strong form and tactical prowess to secure a victory. Meizhou Hakka, on the other hand, will be looking to upset the odds and claim valuable points.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are heavily in favor of Shanghai Port, with a home win priced at 1.22, indicating a high probability of victory. The draw is set at 6.59, while an away win for Meizhou Hakka is at 9.54. These odds suggest a 81.97% chance for Shanghai Port to win, a 15.17% chance for a draw, and a mere 10.48% chance for Meizhou Hakka to emerge victorious.
Team Analysis
Shanghai Port
- Current Form: Shanghai Port has been impressive this season, averaging 2.67 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 60.33%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 19 shots per game and a high expected goals rate of 2.93.
- Weaknesses: Despite their attacking prowess, they concede 1.33 goals per match, which could be exploited by Meizhou Hakka.
Meizhou Hakka
- Current Form: Meizhou Hakka has shown resilience, scoring 2.33 goals per match and achieving a 100% rate in both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
- Strengths: Their ability to engage in duels, averaging 237.33 per match, showcases their physicality.
- Weaknesses: A lower possession rate of 39% and conceding 2.33 goals per match are areas of concern.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Shanghai Port and Meizhou Hakka have had competitive encounters in the past, with Shanghai Port generally having the upper hand due to their superior squad depth and tactical execution.
Tactical Approaches
Shanghai Port is likely to adopt an aggressive attacking strategy, utilizing their high possession and passing accuracy to dominate the game. Meizhou Hakka may focus on counter-attacks, leveraging their physicality and ability to win duels.
Key Players Spotlight
Shanghai Port
- Gustavo: With 3 goals this season, Gustavo is a key offensive player.
- Xinxiang Li: His contribution of 132.24 points highlights his influence on the field.
Meizhou Hakka
- Chaosheng Yang: Leading the team with 3 goals, Yang is crucial for Meizhou's attacking efforts.
- Rodrigo Henrique: His performance, scoring 71.99 points, is vital for Meizhou's midfield.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Shanghai Port averages 6.33 shots on target per match, while Meizhou Hakka manages 4.33.
- Defensive Metrics: Meizhou Hakka's higher interception rate of 50.67 per match could be pivotal in disrupting Shanghai Port's play.
- Possession and Passing: Shanghai Port's superior passing accuracy and possession rate give them a statistical edge.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Shanghai Port is favored to win, given their strong offensive metrics and home advantage. Meizhou Hakka's chances hinge on their ability to capitalize on counter-attacks and set-pieces.
Final Score Prediction
Shanghai Port 3 - 1 Meizhou Hakka
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Shanghai Port: Effective utilization of possession and attacking depth.
- Meizhou Hakka: Exploiting defensive lapses and set-piece opportunities.
In conclusion, Shanghai Port is expected to secure a victory, but Meizhou Hakka's resilience could make for an intriguing contest.