MATCH OVERVIEW
Derby County welcomes Ipswich Town to Pride Park Stadium for a pivotal Championship clash. Scheduled for February 7, 2026, at 12:31 PM, this match is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league standings. Ipswich Town, with a stronger season performance, enters as the favorite, but Derby County's home ground could prove to be a formidable fortress.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 3.53 for a Derby County win, 3.00 for a draw, and 1.92 for an Ipswich Town victory. These odds suggest a 28.3% probability for a home win, a 33.3% chance for a draw, and a 52.1% likelihood for an away win. Ipswich Town's favorable odds reflect their superior form and higher league standing, making them the expected victors.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Derby County
- Current Form: Derby County has shown resilience with an average of 1.47 goals per match and a 70% BTTS rate.
- Strengths: High BTTS percentage and effective dribbling with 11.07 successful dribbles per game.
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate at 44.33% and a defensive vulnerability with 1.23 goals conceded per match.
Ipswich Town
- Current Form: Ipswich Town boasts a strong offensive record with 1.69 goals per match and a solid defense conceding only 0.97 goals per game.
- Strengths: High possession at 57.17% and a robust passing game with 375.69 successful passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Slightly higher dangerous own half losses at 5.38 per game.
Head-to-Head
In recent encounters, Ipswich Town has had the upper hand, leveraging their tactical superiority and consistent form to outplay Derby County.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Derby County
- Carlton Morris: Leading scorer with 10 goals, crucial for Derby's attacking threat.
- Matt Clarke: Defensive stalwart with 215.12 points, key in thwarting Ipswich's attacks.
Ipswich Town
- Jack Clarke: Top scorer with 12 goals, pivotal in Ipswich's offensive strategy.
- Dara O'Shea: Defensive anchor with 224.41 points, instrumental in maintaining Ipswich's defensive solidity.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Ipswich Town leads with 14.28 shots per game compared to Derby's 9.03.
- Defensive Metrics: Ipswich's defense is more robust, conceding fewer goals and maintaining a lower xGA.
- Possession and Passing: Ipswich's superior possession and passing accuracy could dictate the match tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on current form and statistical analysis, Ipswich Town is poised to secure a victory. Their superior offensive and defensive metrics, coupled with Derby's defensive frailties, suggest a likely win for the visitors. Key factors include Ipswich's ability to control possession and exploit Derby's defensive lapses.
Final Score Prediction: Ipswich Town 2-1 Derby County Half Time Score Prediction: Ipswich Town 1-0 Derby County Both Teams to Score Probability: 65% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%
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