Derby County vs Leicester City - Free AI Football Predictions with 80%+ Accuracy

MATCH OVERVIEW

Derby County and Leicester City are gearing up for a pivotal Championship match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. Derby County, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with Pride Park Stadium to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Leicester City aims to capitalize on their slightly better odds to maintain their position in the upper echelons of the league.

ODDS ANALYSIS

The average odds suggest a closely contested match, with Leicester City slightly favored at 2.43 compared to Derby County's 2.79. The draw odds stand at 2.88, indicating a competitive game. The probabilities derived from these odds are:

• Home Win: 35.8%
• Draw: 34.7%
• Away Win: 41.5% Leicester City's slight edge in the odds reflects their stronger overall performance metrics this season.

TEAM ANALYSIS

Derby County

Derby County has shown resilience this season, with a solid average of 1.41 goals per match. Their offensive play is bolstered by Carlton Morris, who has netted 10 goals. However, their possession rate of 43.24% suggests they may struggle to control the game against Leicester's higher possession stats.

Leicester City

Leicester City boasts a higher possession rate of 53.88%, which could be crucial in dictating the pace of the match. Their defensive solidity is evident with a lower average of 1.18 goals conceded per match. Key players like Issahaku Fatawu, who has scored 3 goals, will be instrumental in their attacking strategy.

KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT

Derby County

• Carlton Morris: Leading the scoring charts with 10 goals, Morris is a pivotal figure in Derby's attack.
• Matt Clarke: With 229.61 points, Clarke's defensive contributions are vital.

Leicester City

• Issahaku Fatawu: A dynamic presence with 3 goals, Fatawu's performance could be decisive.
• Jannik Vestergaard: His defensive prowess, reflected in 213.53 points, is key to Leicester's backline.

STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE

Offensive and Defensive Metrics

• Derby County: Average 7.88 shots per match, with 2.94 on target. Their expected goals stand at 0.95.
• Leicester City: Average 11.47 shots per match, with 3.94 on target. Their expected goals are higher at 1.24.

Possession and Passing

• Derby County: 330.29 passes per match with a success rate of 77.8%.
• Leicester City: 463.88 passes per match with a success rate of 86.4%.

PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION

Leicester City's superior possession and passing statistics give them a slight edge in this matchup. Derby County's reliance on Carlton Morris for goals could be a limiting factor if Leicester's defense remains robust. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Leicester's ability to control the midfield and capitalize on their higher shot accuracy.

Final Score Prediction: Leicester City 2-1 Derby County Half Time Score Prediction: Leicester City 1-0 Derby County Probability for Both Teams to Score: 65% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 47%

Derby County, Leicester City, soccer analysis, match predictions, sports betting, odds, goals, corners, yellow cards, red cards, xG Average, BTTS, Over 2.5