MATCH OVERVIEW
Derby County and Millwall are gearing up for a pivotal Championship clash that could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. Scheduled to kick off at 19:45 GMT at Pride Park Stadium, this match promises to be a captivating contest between two sides with contrasting styles and ambitions.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this encounter suggest a closely contested affair, with Derby County slightly favored at 2.15, while Millwall stands at 2.94, and a draw is priced at 2.85. These odds translate to a 46.5% probability of a home win, a 34.9% chance of a draw, and a 33.9% likelihood of an away victory. Given these probabilities, Derby County holds a slight edge, but the match could swing in any direction.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Derby County
- Current Form: Derby County has been consistent, with an average of 1.39 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding 1.39 goals per game.
- Strengths: High BTTS percentage (72.22%) and effective dribbling (10.11 successful dribbles per game).
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate (42.5%) and reliance on key players like Carlton Morris.
Millwall
- Current Form: Millwall has shown resilience, averaging 1.22 goals per match and maintaining a similar defensive record to Derby.
- Strengths: Strong passing game with 276.39 successful passes per match and a higher possession rate (46.33%).
- Weaknesses: Lower BTTS percentage (44.44%) and vulnerability in their own half.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been tightly contested, with both sides having their share of victories. Derby's home advantage could play a crucial role in this fixture.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Derby County
- Carlton Morris: Leading scorer with 10 goals, crucial for Derby's attacking threat.
- Matt Clarke: Defensive stalwart with significant contributions in defense.
Millwall
- Femi Azeez: Top scorer with 6 goals, pivotal in Millwall's offensive play.
- Tristan Crama: Key defensive figure with impressive points tally.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Derby averages 7.72 shots per game, while Millwall takes 12.06 shots, indicating a more aggressive approach from Millwall.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams concede an average of 1.39 goals per match, highlighting their defensive similarities.
- Passing and Possession: Millwall's superior passing accuracy and possession could be decisive in controlling the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Derby County's home advantage and Carlton Morris's form could be decisive. However, Millwall's superior passing and possession stats suggest they could dominate the midfield battle. Expect a closely fought match with potential for goals from both sides.
Final Score Prediction: Derby County 2-1 Millwall Half Time Score Prediction: Derby County 1-1 Millwall Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%
All predictions, betting tips, and odds provided on this page are generated using data-driven models and expert analysis. While we strive for accuracy, no prediction can guarantee results. Soccer outcomes are influenced by numerous unpredictable factors such as injuries, weather, and team decisions. Please use our content as informational only and not as financial advice.
<0>Predictions.GG does not promote or encourage gambling.0> If you choose to place bets, please do so responsibly and ensure it complies with the laws and regulations in your country. For help with problem gambling, visit <1>BeGambleAware.org1> or your local support service.