Derby County vs Wrexham - Free AI Football Predictions with 80%+ Accuracy

MATCH OVERVIEW

Derby County and Wrexham face off in a pivotal Championship match at Pride Park Stadium. Scheduled for January 4, 2026, at 3:00 PM, this encounter is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league standings. Derby County, currently showing a mixed form, will rely on their home advantage to secure a win. Meanwhile, Wrexham, known for their resilience, will be eager to challenge the hosts and gain valuable points.

ODDS ANALYSIS

The average odds for this match are 2.09 for a Derby County win, 3.06 for a draw, and 3.12 for a Wrexham victory. These odds suggest a slight edge for Derby County, with a 47.8% probability of winning. The draw stands at a 32.7% probability, while Wrexham's chances are at 32.1%. Based on these odds, Derby County is favored, but the match is expected to be closely contested.

TEAM ANALYSIS

Derby County

• Current Form: Derby County has played 24 matches this season, with a 50% rate of games ending with over 2.5 goals.
• Strengths: High BTTS percentage (75%), solid dribbling success (10.96 per game).
• Weaknesses: Average possession (43.96%), conceding 1.38 goals per game.

Wrexham

• Current Form: Wrexham has played 23 matches, with a 39.13% rate of games ending with over 2.5 goals.
• Strengths: Better possession (45.26%), higher expected goals (1.36).
• Weaknesses: Higher expected goals against (1.58), more dangerous own half losses (7 per game).

Head-to-Head

Historically, Derby County and Wrexham have had competitive encounters, with Derby often having the upper hand at home. This match will test Wrexham's ability to perform under pressure away from home.

KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT

Derby County

• Carlton Morris: Leading scorer with 10 goals, crucial for Derby's attacking play.
• Matt Clarke: Defensive stalwart, contributing significantly to the team's stability.

Wrexham

• Kieffer Moore: Top scorer with 10 goals, pivotal in Wrexham's offensive strategy.
• Danny Ward: Key player in midfield, providing assists and controlling the tempo.

STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE

• Offensive Metrics: Derby averages 1.38 goals per game, while Wrexham averages 1.39.
• Defensive Metrics: Derby concedes 1.38 goals per game, slightly higher than Wrexham's 1.3.
• Possession and Passing: Wrexham leads in possession (45.26%) and successful passes (318.35 per game).

PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION

Based on the data, Derby County holds a slight advantage, especially with their home support. However, Wrexham's resilience and offensive capabilities cannot be underestimated. The match is likely to be closely contested, with both teams having a good chance to score. The final score prediction is a narrow 2-1 victory for Derby County, with both teams finding the net.

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