MATCH OVERVIEW
Hull City and Derby County are set to clash in a pivotal Championship match that could have significant implications for both teams' aspirations this season. With the season winding down, every point is crucial, and this encounter at Hull City's KCOM Stadium is no exception. Scheduled for April 26, 2025, at 14:00 GMT, fans can expect a competitive battle as both teams aim to secure vital points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Hull City slightly favored at 2.39, while Derby County stands at 3.13, and the draw at 3.04. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 41.8% for a Hull City win, 31.9% for a Derby County victory, and 32.9% for a draw. The odds indicate a tight match, with Hull City having a slight edge due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Hull City
Hull City has had a mixed season, with an average of 44 matches played, scoring 0.98 goals per game and conceding 1.18. Their possession rate stands at 51.39%, indicating a balanced approach. Hull City's strengths lie in their dribbling ability, averaging 22.18 dribbles per match, with a success rate of 16.8. However, their goal-scoring has been less prolific, with only 14 matches seeing over 2.5 goals.
Derby County
Derby County, on the other hand, has shown slightly better offensive capabilities, averaging 1.07 goals per game. Their possession is lower at 44.09%, suggesting a more counter-attacking style. Derby's defense has been a concern, conceding 1.27 goals per match. They have a higher percentage of matches with over 2.5 goals (40.91%), indicating potential for a high-scoring game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Hull City and Derby County have been evenly matched, with both teams having their share of victories. This season, Hull City's home form could be a decisive factor, as they look to leverage their familiarity with the KCOM Stadium.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Hull City
- João Pedro: With 6 goals this season, Pedro is Hull City's top scorer and a key player to watch.
- Mohamed Belloumi: Leading in points, Belloumi's influence in midfield will be crucial.
Derby County
- Jerry Yates: Derby's leading scorer with 10 goals, Yates will be a significant threat to Hull City's defense.
- Ebou Adams: With 6 goals and strong midfield presence, Adams is vital for Derby's attacking play.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Hull City averages 10.16 shots per game, with 3.61 on target.
- Derby County averages 8.73 shots, with 3.11 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Hull City makes 38.89 interceptions per match, while Derby County averages 40.66.
- Both teams have similar clearance rates, indicating evenly matched defenses.
Tactical Insights
Hull City's possession and dribbling stats suggest a more controlled approach, while Derby County's lower possession and higher goals indicate a counter-attacking strategy.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Hull City holds a slight advantage due to their home form and possession stats. However, Derby County's goal-scoring ability cannot be underestimated. Key factors will include Hull City's ability to control the midfield and Derby's counter-attacking prowess.
Final Score Prediction
Hull City 2 - 1 Derby County
Half Time Score Prediction
Hull City 1 - 1 Derby County
With both teams capable of scoring, the probability for both teams to score is high, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is also significant. Expect a closely fought match with Hull City edging out Derby County.