MATCH OVERVIEW
Oldham Athletic and Newport County are set to face off in the EFL Cup, promising a thrilling encounter. The match will take place at Oldham's home ground, where they will look to leverage their home advantage. Scheduled for August 12, 2025, at 18:45 GMT, this fixture is crucial for both teams as they seek to advance in the competition.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Oldham Athletic slightly favored at 1.99, indicating a 50.3% probability of winning. Newport County's odds stand at 3.32, translating to a 30.1% chance of victory, while the draw is priced at 3.16, offering a 31.6% probability. These odds reflect a closely contested game, with Oldham having a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Oldham Athletic has shown a strong offensive presence, averaging 1 goal per match and maintaining a 100% rate in both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Their possession rate of 58% indicates a control-oriented approach. However, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 3 goals per game.
Newport County, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience, scoring 2 goals per match and also maintaining a 100% rate in over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Their possession is notably lower at 24%, suggesting a counter-attacking strategy. Defensively, they concede 2 goals on average, which is slightly better than Oldham.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Reagan Ogle and Will Sutton are key figures for Oldham, with Ogle contributing a goal this season. Newport's Michael Reindorf and Cameron Antwi have also been impactful, each scoring a goal. The matchup between these players could be pivotal in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Oldham's offensive metrics, including 10 shots per game and 2 on target, highlight their attacking intent. Newport's defensive strength is evident in their 5 goalkeeper saves per match. Both teams have shown proficiency in duels, with Oldham winning 115 and Newport 104.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Oldham Athletic is slightly favored to win, but Newport County's counter-attacking prowess could pose challenges. Key factors include Oldham's home advantage and Newport's defensive capabilities. The predicted final score is 2-1 in favor of Oldham, with a half-time score of 1-1. Both teams are likely to score, with a high probability of over 2.5 goals.
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