MATCH OVERVIEW
Burnley and Newcastle United face off in a highly anticipated Premier League match at Turf Moor. Scheduled for December 30, 2025, at 19:30 GMT, this game is pivotal for both teams as they navigate the competitive landscape of the EPL. Burnley, currently struggling in the lower half of the table, will be eager to secure points at home, while Newcastle United, sitting comfortably in the top half, aims to continue their impressive run.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Newcastle United with an average of 1.62, indicating a 61.7% probability of an away win. Burnley, with odds of 4.39, has a 22.8% chance of victory, while the draw is priced at 3.35, suggesting a 29.9% likelihood. Given these odds, Newcastle United is expected to dominate, but Burnley's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Burnley
- Current Form: Burnley has struggled this season, with an average of 1.13 goals per match and a high concession rate of 2.06 goals.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbles with 11.25 per game, indicating potential in breaking defensive lines.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties with an average of 2.06 goals conceded and a low possession rate of 40.44%.
Newcastle United
- Current Form: Newcastle has been solid, averaging 1.35 goals per match and a lower concession rate of 1.29 goals.
- Strengths: High possession (50.41%) and effective in offensive duels with 93.18 successful duels per game.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to counter-attacks, as indicated by their 1.19 expected goals against.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Newcastle has had the upper hand in recent encounters, often outscoring Burnley and maintaining a strong defensive record.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Burnley
- Zian Flemming: Top scorer with 5 goals, crucial for Burnley's attacking prospects.
- Josh Cullen: Key midfielder with 215 points, instrumental in linking play.
Newcastle United
- Nick Woltemade: Leading scorer with 7 goals, a constant threat in the final third.
- Bruno Guimarães: Midfield maestro with 5 goals, pivotal in controlling the game's tempo.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Newcastle averages 11.12 shots per game compared to Burnley's 8.13, highlighting their attacking prowess.
- Defensive Metrics: Burnley concedes more with 2.06 goals per game, while Newcastle's defense is tighter at 1.29.
- Possession and Passing: Newcastle's superior possession (50.41%) and passing accuracy (361.29 successful passes) could dictate the match's flow.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Newcastle United is favored to win, given their superior form and statistical advantages. Key factors include their offensive depth and defensive solidity. Burnley will need to exploit set-pieces and counter-attacks to challenge Newcastle.
Final Score Prediction: Newcastle United 2-1 Burnley Half Time Score Prediction: Newcastle United 1-0 Burnley Both Teams to Score Probability: 56% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%
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