MATCH OVERVIEW
Everton and Newcastle United are set to face off in a highly anticipated Premier League match at Goodison Park. Scheduled for November 29, 2025, at 17:30 GMT, this encounter is pivotal for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league standings. Everton, currently struggling to find consistent form, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage against a Newcastle side that has been impressive in their away fixtures.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Newcastle United slightly favored to win at 2.29, compared to Everton's 2.92. The draw is priced at 3.16, indicating a closely contested match. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 34.2% for an Everton win, 31.6% for a draw, and 43.2% for a Newcastle victory. Given Newcastle's recent form and Everton's home advantage, a draw or a narrow win for Newcastle seems likely.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Everton
Everton's season has been marked by inconsistency, with an average of 10 matches played, 40% of which have seen over 2.5 goals. Their possession stands at 45.5%, and they average 1 goal per game. Key players like Jack Grealish and Iliman Ndiaye have been instrumental, but the team struggles with defensive lapses, conceding 1.3 goals per match.
Newcastle United
Newcastle United, on the other hand, have shown a balanced approach with a possession rate of 50.1% and an average of 1 goal per game. Their defensive solidity is evident with only 1.1 goals conceded per match. Players like Nick Woltemade and Bruno Guimarães have been crucial in their attacking setup, contributing significantly to their offensive play.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Everton
- Jack Grealish: With 361.51 points this season, Grealish is a key creative force for Everton.
- Iliman Ndiaye: Leading the goal-scoring chart for Everton with 4 goals.
Newcastle United
- Nick Woltemade: Top scorer for Newcastle with 4 goals, his presence in the attack is vital.
- Bruno Guimarães: A midfield dynamo, contributing 3 goals and providing stability.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Everton: Average 10.1 shots per game, with 3.1 on target. Their expected goals stand at 1.26.
- Newcastle United: Average 12 shots per game, with 3.7 on target. Their expected goals are also 1.26.
Possession and Passing
- Everton: 365.3 passes per game with a success rate of 298.8.
- Newcastle United: 423.6 passes per game with a success rate of 352.3.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Newcastle United appears to have a slight edge due to their balanced play and defensive strength. Everton's home advantage could play a role, but Newcastle's form suggests they might edge out a win. Key factors will include Newcastle's ability to capitalize on their possession and Everton's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: Everton 1-2 Newcastle United Half Time Score Prediction: Everton 0-1 Newcastle United Probability for Both Teams to Score: 50% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 45%
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