Burnley vs Mansfield Town - Free AI Football Predictions with 80%+ Accuracy

MATCH OVERVIEW

Burnley and Mansfield Town face off in the FA Cup, with the match taking place at Turf Moor on February 14, 2026, at 3:00 PM. This encounter is crucial for both teams, as they aim to advance in one of the most celebrated cup competitions in English football. Burnley, playing at home, will look to leverage their superior form and statistics against a determined Mansfield Town side.

ODDS ANALYSIS

The average odds for this match heavily favor Burnley, with odds of 1.23 for a home win, 4.74 for a draw, and 10.21 for an away win. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 81% for a Burnley victory, 17% for a draw, and a mere 9% for Mansfield Town to win. Given these figures, Burnley is expected to dominate, but the unpredictability of the FA Cup means Mansfield Town could still spring a surprise.

TEAM ANALYSIS

Burnley

• Current Form: Burnley has been in excellent form, with an average of 5 goals per match and a possession rate of 64%.
• Strengths: High goal-scoring ability, strong possession play, and effective passing with 632 successful passes per match.
• Weaknesses: Despite their strengths, Burnley concedes an average of 1 goal per match, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities.

Mansfield Town

• Current Form: Mansfield Town has shown resilience, scoring an average of 4 goals per match but conceding 3.
• Strengths: High interception rate (59 per match) and successful dribbling (13 per match).
• Weaknesses: Low possession rate (25%) and a high expected goals against (2.73), suggesting defensive frailties.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Burnley and Mansfield Town have not frequently faced each other, making this match a fresh challenge for both sides. Burnley's superior league status and form give them an edge in this encounter.

KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT

Burnley

• Ashley Barnes: With 2 goals this season, Barnes is a key attacking threat.
• Jacob Bruun Larsen: Leading in points with 515.06, Larsen's playmaking abilities are crucial.

Mansfield Town

• Louis Reed: Top scorer with 2 goals, Reed will be vital in Mansfield's attacking efforts.
• Rhys Oates: With 428.94 points, Oates' performance could influence the match's outcome.

STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE

• Offensive Metrics: Burnley averages 17 shots per match with 8 on target, while Mansfield Town averages 12 shots with 6 on target.
• Defensive Metrics: Burnley has a lower expected goals against (0.96) compared to Mansfield's 2.73, highlighting a defensive advantage.
• Possession and Passing: Burnley's 64% possession and 696 passes per match contrast sharply with Mansfield's 25% possession and 200 passes, indicating Burnley's dominance in ball control.

PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION

Based on the data, Burnley is likely to win this match, leveraging their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Key factors include Burnley's high goal-scoring rate and Mansfield's defensive vulnerabilities. The final score prediction is a 3-1 victory for Burnley, with a half-time score of 2-0. The probability of both teams scoring is high, given their respective scoring records, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is significant.

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