MATCH OVERVIEW
Bolton Wanderers will face Stevenage in a pivotal League 1 match that could significantly impact their season standings. With Bolton aiming to solidify their position in the upper half of the table, Stevenage is looking to climb out of the lower ranks. The match, scheduled for May 3, 2025, at the University of Bolton Stadium, promises to be a competitive affair.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest Bolton Wanderers are the favorites with odds of 1.79, translating to a 55.9% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.84, indicating a 26% chance, while Stevenage's odds of 4.28 reflect an 18.1% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Bolton is expected to dominate, but Stevenage could pose a threat if they capitalize on their chances.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Bolton Wanderers
Bolton has shown strong form this season, with a high possession rate of 55.91% and an average of 1.48 goals per match. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 61.36% over 2.5 goals percentage. However, they have conceded an average of 1.55 goals, which could be a vulnerability against Stevenage.
Stevenage
Stevenage has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.91 goals per match. Their possession rate of 47.73% indicates they may find it challenging to control the game against Bolton. Defensively, they have been more solid, conceding 1.09 goals on average, which could help them withstand Bolton's attacks.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Bolton has had the upper hand in this fixture, often leveraging their home advantage. Stevenage will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Bolton Wanderers
- Aaron Collins: With 12 goals this season, Collins is a key offensive threat.
- George Johnston: His defensive prowess is crucial for Bolton's backline.
Stevenage
- Dan Kemp: Leading the team with 10 goals, Kemp is vital for Stevenage's attack.
- Carl Piergianni: A strong defensive presence, Piergianni will be key in thwarting Bolton's forwards.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Bolton's offensive metrics, including 11.82 shots per game and 4.11 shots on target, suggest they will create numerous scoring opportunities. Stevenage's defensive stats, such as 39.89 interceptions, indicate they can disrupt Bolton's play. However, Bolton's higher expected goals (1.41) compared to Stevenage's (1.1) gives them a statistical edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Bolton Wanderers are likely to leverage their home advantage and superior offensive capabilities to secure a win. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Stevenage's defense will be tested, but their resilience could lead to a competitive match.
Final Score Prediction: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Stevenage Half Time Score Prediction: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Stevenage Probability of Both Teams to Score: 56% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 61%