MATCH OVERVIEW
Crawley Town and Wrexham face off in a crucial League 1 match that could have significant implications for both teams' seasons. Scheduled for February 1, 2025, at 3:00 PM, this match will take place at Crawley Town's home ground, the Broadfield Stadium. With Wrexham currently sitting higher in the league standings, Crawley Town will be eager to secure a victory in front of their home fans.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a Wrexham victory, with odds of 1.88 compared to Crawley Town's 4.04. The probability of a draw stands at 3.58. These odds translate to a 53.2% chance of a Wrexham win, a 24.8% chance for Crawley Town, and a 27.9% probability of a draw. Given these figures, Wrexham is the clear favorite, but Crawley Town's home advantage could play a pivotal role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Crawley Town
- Current Form: Crawley Town has struggled this season, averaging 1 goal per match while conceding 1.73.
- Strengths: Possession play (57.04% average), successful passes (382.96 per match).
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, with 1.73 goals conceded per game.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Wrexham has had the upper hand in recent encounters.
Wrexham
- Current Form: Wrexham has been more consistent, scoring 1.46 goals per match and conceding only 0.86.
- Strengths: Strong defensive record, effective crossing (6.61 successful crosses per match).
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate (47.43%), which could be exploited by Crawley Town.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Crawley Town
- Junior Quitirna & Will Swan: Both have scored 5 goals this season, crucial for Crawley's attack.
- Matthew Cox: Key defensive player with 148.95 points.
Wrexham
- Steven Fletcher & Elliot Lee: Leading goal scorers with 6 goals each, vital for Wrexham's offensive play.
- M. Cleworth: Notable for both defensive contributions and goal-scoring ability.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Crawley Town: Average 10.38 shots per game, with 3.46 on target.
- Wrexham: Slightly higher shot accuracy with 3.93 shots on target per game.
- Defensive Comparison: Wrexham's defense is statistically superior, conceding fewer goals and maintaining a higher defensive CompaScore.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Wrexham is likely to emerge victorious. Key factors include their superior defensive record and effective goal-scoring duo. Crawley Town's home advantage and possession play could challenge Wrexham, but the odds favor the visitors.
Final Score Prediction: Wrexham 2-1 Crawley Town Half Time Score Prediction: Wrexham 1-0 Crawley Town Both Teams to Score Probability: 65% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%