MATCH OVERVIEW
Exeter City and Burton Albion face off in a pivotal League 1 match that could significantly impact their season standings. Scheduled for November 22, 2025, at 12:30 PM, this match will take place at Exeter's home ground, where the hosts will look to leverage their home advantage.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Exeter City slightly favored at 2.18, while Burton Albion stands at 3.2, and the draw at 3.34. This indicates a 45.9% probability for Exeter to win, a 29.9% chance for a draw, and a 31.3% likelihood for Burton Albion to emerge victorious.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Exeter City
Exeter City has shown a balanced form this season, with a possession rate of 50.31% and an average of 1 goal per match. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.06 goals per game. However, their offensive output needs improvement, as they average only 0.98 expected goals per match.
Burton Albion
Burton Albion boasts a slightly higher offensive rating, with 1.39 expected goals per game. Their defense, however, has been more vulnerable, conceding 1.19 goals per match. With a possession rate of 44.06%, they will need to control the game better to challenge Exeter.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Exeter City
- Jayden Wareham: Leading the team with 5 goals this season, Wareham is crucial to Exeter's attacking strategy.
- Jack Fitzwater: A key defensive player, Fitzwater's contributions are vital for maintaining Exeter's defensive solidity.
Burton Albion
- Jake Beesley: With 5 goals, Beesley is Burton's top scorer and a constant threat in the attacking third.
- Brad Collins: His impressive season points highlight his importance in goalkeeping and defensive duties.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Exeter City: Average 8 shots per game, with 2.94 on target, indicating a need for more precision in front of goal.
- Burton Albion: Average 11.44 shots per game, with 3.44 on target, showcasing a more aggressive offensive approach.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Exeter City holds a slight edge due to their home advantage and solid defensive record. However, Burton Albion's offensive capabilities cannot be underestimated. Expect a closely contested match with potential for both teams to score.
Final Score Prediction: Exeter City 2-1 Burton Albion Half Time Score Prediction: Exeter City 1-1 Burton Albion Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
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