MATCH OVERVIEW
Mansfield Town will face Bolton Wanderers in a pivotal League 1 match that promises to be a captivating contest. Scheduled for December 9, 2025, at 19:45 GMT, this game will take place at the One Call Stadium, where Mansfield Town will look to exploit their home turf against a formidable Bolton side. Both teams are vying for crucial points to enhance their league positions, making this match significant in the current season.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with Bolton Wanderers favored to win at 1.94, while Mansfield Town's odds stand at 3.77, and a draw is priced at 3.45. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 51.5% for a Bolton victory, 26.5% for a Mansfield win, and 29% for a draw. Given Bolton's strong form, they are expected to edge out Mansfield, but the home side's resilience could lead to a closely contested match.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mansfield Town
Mansfield Town has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.35 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.88%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by a 52.94% over 2.5 goals percentage and a 70.59% both teams to score percentage. However, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.35 goals per game.
Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers have been impressive, boasting a higher possession rate of 56.71% and scoring 1.41 goals per match. Their defense is robust, conceding only 0.94 goals on average, which is reflected in their expected goals against of 0.98. Bolton's tactical approach focuses on maintaining possession and exploiting their offensive strengths.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mansfield Town
- Will Evans: Leading goal scorer with 5 goals, crucial for Mansfield's attacking play.
- Rhys Oates: Contributing with 3 goals, his performance will be vital.
Bolton Wanderers
- Mason Burstow: Top scorer with 7 goals, a key threat to Mansfield's defense.
- Amario Cozier-Duberry: With 6 goals, his form could be decisive in the match.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Mansfield Town: Average 9.76 shots per game, with 3.06 on target. Their expected goals stand at 1.19.
- Bolton Wanderers: Average 15 shots per game, with 4.94 on target. Their expected goals are higher at 1.55.
Possession and Passing
- Mansfield Town: Average 402.18 passes per game, with a success rate of 313.94.
- Bolton Wanderers: Average 463.71 passes per game, with a success rate of 384.35.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Bolton Wanderers are likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities, given their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Mansfield Town's home advantage and resilience could make the match competitive, but Bolton's form suggests they might secure a narrow victory. Key factors include Bolton's ability to convert chances and Mansfield's defensive solidity.
Final Score Prediction: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Mansfield Town Half Time Score Prediction: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Mansfield Town Probability of Both Teams to Score: 65% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 60%
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