MATCH OVERVIEW
Shrewsbury Town and Burton Albion are set to face off in a pivotal League 1 match that could shape the trajectory of their season. With Shrewsbury Town currently struggling to find consistent form, this home fixture presents an opportunity to turn the tide. Meanwhile, Burton Albion aims to capitalize on their slightly better performance metrics to climb the league table. The match will be held at Shrewsbury's home stadium, providing them with a slight advantage.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Shrewsbury Town having a slight edge at 2.25 to win. The draw is priced at 3.25, while Burton Albion's odds stand at 3.24. These odds reflect the competitive nature of the teams, with Shrewsbury Town having a 44.44% chance of winning, Burton Albion a 30.86% chance, and a draw at 24.70%. The odds indicate a potential home victory, but the narrow margins suggest that Burton Albion could pull off an upset.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Shrewsbury Town
Shrewsbury Town's season has been marked by inconsistency, with an average of 0.94 goals per game and a possession rate of 42%. Their defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by 1.67 goals conceded per match. However, their duels rating of 348.94 suggests a competitive edge in physical contests.
Burton Albion
Burton Albion has shown slightly better form, averaging 1 goal per game and maintaining a possession rate of 44.67%. Their defensive stats are stronger, with 1.47 goals conceded per match. Burton's offensive rating of 290.04 indicates a more dynamic attack compared to Shrewsbury.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had closely fought encounters, with Shrewsbury often leveraging their home advantage. However, Burton's recent form suggests they could challenge Shrewsbury's dominance.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Shrewsbury Town
- John Marquis: Leading scorer with 8 goals, crucial for Shrewsbury's attacking play.
- Mal Benning: Key defensive player with 120.1 points, vital for maintaining stability.
Burton Albion
- Danilo Orsi: Joint top scorer with 6 goals, pivotal in Burton's offensive strategy.
- Ryan Sweeney: Defensive stalwart with 150.45 points, essential for Burton's backline.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Shrewsbury Town: Average of 8.56 shots per game, with 2.81 on target. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 1.1.
- Burton Albion: Average of 8.47 shots per game, with 3.14 on target. Their xG is slightly lower at 0.96.
- Defensive Metrics: Shrewsbury's interceptions (45.28) and clearances (7.53) are slightly higher than Burton's, indicating a more active defense.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Shrewsbury Town has a slight edge due to their home advantage and competitive duels rating. However, Burton Albion's stronger possession and defensive metrics could lead to a tightly contested match. Key factors will include Shrewsbury's ability to convert chances and Burton's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Burton Albion Half Time Score Prediction: Shrewsbury Town 0-0 Burton Albion Probability for Both Teams to Score: 50% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 44.44%