MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming League 1 match between Stockport County and Rotherham United is a crucial fixture for both teams as they aim to secure their positions in the league standings. Stockport County, playing at home, will be eager to leverage their home advantage to gain three vital points. Meanwhile, Rotherham United will be looking to upset the hosts and climb the league table. The match is set to take place at Stockport's home ground on April 12, 2025, at 14:00 GMT.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a favorable outcome for Stockport County, with odds of 1.74 for a home win, indicating a probability of approximately 57.5%. The odds for a draw stand at 3.6, translating to a 27.8% chance, while Rotherham United's odds of 4.88 suggest a 20.5% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Stockport County is expected to have the upper hand, but the possibility of a draw cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Stockport County
Stockport County has shown consistent form this season, with an average of 41 matches played. They have a solid offensive record, averaging 1.46 goals per game and maintaining a possession rate of 51.66%. Their defense has been robust, conceding only 0.85 goals per match. Key strengths include their successful dribbles (15.41) and interceptions (39.51), which highlight their ability to disrupt opposition play.
Rotherham United
Rotherham United has played 40 matches this season, with a slightly lower average possession of 47.48%. They have scored an average of 1.15 goals per game, indicating a need for improvement in their attacking prowess. Defensively, they concede 1.25 goals per match, which could be a vulnerability against Stockport's attacking lineup. Their ability to win duels (119.9) and successful crosses (6.1) are notable strengths.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Stockport County has had the edge over Rotherham United in their head-to-head encounters. However, Rotherham's recent form suggests they could pose a significant challenge.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Stockport County
- Louie Barry: With 15 goals this season, Barry is Stockport's top scorer and a key player to watch.
- Kyle Wootton: Contributing 10 goals, Wootton's presence in the attack is crucial.
Rotherham United
- Sam Nombe: Leading the scoring charts for Rotherham with 10 goals, Nombe will be pivotal in their offensive strategy.
- Mallik Wilks: With 6 goals, Wilks adds depth to Rotherham's attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Stockport County averages 11.34 shots per game, with 4.73 on target, while Rotherham United averages 11.73 shots, with 4.2 on target.
- Stockport's expected goals (xG) stand at 1.53, slightly higher than Rotherham's 1.48.
Defensive Metrics
- Stockport County's expected goals against (xGA) is 0.87, indicating a strong defensive setup compared to Rotherham's 1.22.
- Rotherham's goalkeeper saves average 2.95 per game, suggesting they may face more shots on target.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data and analysis, Stockport County is likely to emerge victorious in this encounter, given their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Key factors such as home advantage and player form will play a significant role. The final score prediction is a 2-1 win for Stockport County, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 46.34%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 36.59%.