Cambridge United enters this match with a slight edge, given their home advantage and better defensive statistics. They have conceded fewer goals on average (0.9) compared to Crawley Town's 1.7, which could be pivotal in a tightly contested match. Cambridge's possession stats (51.7%) and successful passes (260.6) indicate a solid midfield control, which they will need to maintain against Crawley's higher possession rate (54.7%). Crawley Town, however, has shown a higher expected goals rate (1.56) and more shots on target (4), suggesting they could pose a significant threat offensively. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities, with Cambridge's dangerous own half losses (4.1) and Crawley's (8) potentially impacting the match outcome. Historically, Cambridge United has performed well at home, and their defensive solidity might just give them the edge in this encounter.
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