Match Overview
Chesterfield and Carlisle United are set to face off in a crucial League 2 match that could significantly impact their standings this season. Chesterfield, currently enjoying a strong run, will look to leverage their home advantage against a Carlisle United side eager to improve their league position. The match will take place at Chesterfield's home stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 18:45 on April 1, 2025.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest Chesterfield as the favorites, with odds of 1.78 for a home win, 3.92 for a draw, and 4.03 for an away win. This translates to a probability of approximately 56% for Chesterfield to win, 25% for a draw, and 19% for Carlisle United to secure an away victory. Given Chesterfield's recent form and home advantage, the odds favor them to emerge victorious.
Team Analysis
Chesterfield
Chesterfield has been impressive this season, with a strong offensive record, averaging 1.57 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 59.35%. Their ability to control the game is evident in their passing statistics, averaging 473.19 passes per match with a success rate of 388.73. However, they need to be cautious defensively, as they concede an average of 1.19 goals per match.
Carlisle United
Carlisle United has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.79 goals per match. Their possession rate of 52.39% indicates a need for improvement in controlling the game. Defensively, they concede 1.47 goals per match, which could be a concern against Chesterfield's potent attack.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Chesterfield has had the upper hand in this fixture, often capitalizing on their home advantage. Carlisle United will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
Key Players Spotlight
Chesterfield
- Armando Dobra: With 9 goals this season, Dobra is a key offensive threat.
- Will Grigg: Another crucial player, contributing 8 goals.
Carlisle United
- Sam Lavelle: Leading the scoring for Carlisle with 4 goals.
- Luke Armstrong: A potential game-changer with 3 goals.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Chesterfield: Averaging 11.89 shots per match, with 4.19 on target.
- Carlisle United: Averaging 10.34 shots per match, with 3.47 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Chesterfield: Conceding 1.19 goals per match.
- Carlisle United: Conceding 1.47 goals per match.
Possession and Passing
- Chesterfield: 59.35% possession, 473.19 passes per match.
- Carlisle United: 52.39% possession, 413.79 passes per match.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Chesterfield is likely to dominate the match, leveraging their superior offensive capabilities and home advantage. Key factors such as possession control and goal-scoring prowess will be crucial for Chesterfield's success. Carlisle United will need to improve their defensive organization to counter Chesterfield's attack.
Final Score Prediction
Chesterfield 2-1 Carlisle United
Half Time Score Prediction
Chesterfield 1-0 Carlisle United
Both Teams to Score Probability
51%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability
57%